Win rate
94.7%
1132 W / 64 L
Total PnL
$-2,671
realized $-6,662 · unrealized $3,991
Portfolio
$3,991
volume $301,328
Predictions
1,915
41.1/day · avg $157
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 88% +$120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during the FII PRIORITY Summit? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 100% +$35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,000 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 end of March? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 33% $-713
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | Yes | 84¢ | 12¢ | $-232 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 27? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Down | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4PM ET | Up | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Weather 95% $-724
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 19? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19? | No | 92¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 18? | Yes | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 18? | No | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 18? | Yes | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 18? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 18? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 18? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 98¢ | $-6 | $400 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 18? | No | 98.0¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 18? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 18? | No | 98.2¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 18? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 18? | No | 97.7¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 18? | No | 97.8¢ | 92¢ | $-5 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 18? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or higher on April 18? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 18? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 18? | No | 78.4¢ | 94¢ | +$10 | $50 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18? | No | 96.9¢ | 42¢ | $-23 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 18? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18? | No | 90.0¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 17? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 17? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 17? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 17? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 16? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 16? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 16? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on April 16? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 16? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $300 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 16? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 60°F or higher on April 16? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 16? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 16? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |