Win rate
74.6%
299 W / 102 L
Total PnL
$3,403
realized $2,758 · unrealized $645
Portfolio
$645
volume $108,587
Predictions
474
1.4/day · avg $229
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 85% +$1,594
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will "AWP" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final? | No | 19¢ | 8¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will "Ace" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match? | Yes | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will "Open Source" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will "Scout" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| BitBoy convicted? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| Will "Oil" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "China" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Esports 87% +$1,137
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will "Cosmic Divide" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will "Tour De Force" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner | ASTRAL | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons - Game 3 Winner | Team Falcons | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Rocket League: Shopify Rebellion vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | Shopify Rebellion | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner | Gentle Mates Alpine | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Rocket League: Shopify Rebellion vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 Winner | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Rocket League: NRG Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner | NRG Esports | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 100% +$264
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8) | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will "Biden" or "Kamala" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15) | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will "Democrat" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25) | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call? | No | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
Sports 66% +$215
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 50¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | — |
| Spurs vs. Raptors | Spurs | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) | Cavaliers | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 | Over | 63¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will "Olympic" or "Olympics" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15) | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5 | Under | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5 | Under | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Crypto 100% +$193
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Bitcoin / Crypto" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15) | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Sam Altman say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Tonight Show on December 8? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | win |
Elections 100% +$78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris say "Midterm" on Jimmy Kimmel Live? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Geopolitics 50% +$58
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will "Israel" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15) | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will "Nuclear" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Kylie" be said at the Oscars? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Kylie" be said at the Oscars? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Finance 50% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Down | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Up | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
Economy 50% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 41¢ | 56¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Tech 77% $-293
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next YouTube video? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-469 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA say "Arizona" during earnings call? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Open Source" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 90¢ | +$10 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will "Banana" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 36.5¢ | 100¢ | +$423 | $269 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Ace" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $181 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Knife" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $98 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $107 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Retake" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $86 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Smoke" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $32 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $48 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Defuse" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $37 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $38 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "No Scope" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Scout" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $165 | 11/04/2026 |
| BitBoy convicted? | No | 71.5¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $302 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will "Barrel" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $156 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will "Productivity" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $166 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $114 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will "Oil" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $79 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will "China" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will "Clutch" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | +$250 | $146 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "World Champion" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 57.3¢ | 100¢ | +$244 | $335 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Tour De Force" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 24.8¢ | 0¢ | +$96 | $67 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Hunter's Fury" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $339 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Spike" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $177 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15) | No | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $174 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $141 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $71 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "IGL" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $36 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Ult" or "Ultimate" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Six Seven" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $28 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Israel" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15) | Yes | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $47 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Pearl" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $78 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Chile" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 56.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Six Seven" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Fake Clone" or "Fake Cloning" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Kylie" be said at the Oscars? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Fake Clone" or "Fake Cloning" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Clutch" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Chile" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Kylie" be said at the Oscars? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Tour De Force" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | $50 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Cosmic Divide" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 57.7¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $74 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Tariff" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $90 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8) | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $190 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8) | No | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $197 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will "Gold" or "Silver" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8) | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $138 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 28/02/2026 |