NoSteinNoGate

Other 73% +$21,341 $146,627 vol · 333 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	71¢	69¢	$-17	loss
Will Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	34¢	56¢	+$25	win
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	39¢	90¢	+$66	win
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	56¢	23¢	$-4	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	56¢	36¢	+$65	win
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	Yes	10¢	8¢	+$7	win
New pandemic in 2026?	No	85¢	88¢	+$6	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	95¢	96¢	+$3	win
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	94¢	96¢	$-1	loss

Geopolitics 55% +$2,275 $45,968 vol · 162 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$203	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	42¢	22¢	+$63	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	50¢	70¢	+$6	win
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$5	win
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	85¢	90¢	+$2	win
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	35¢	77¢	+$0	win
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	65¢	23¢	$-5	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	67¢	24¢	$-18	loss
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	13¢	10¢	$-38	loss

Tech 66% +$1,697 $10,382 vol · 68 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	34¢	36¢	+$1	win
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?	No	50¢	99¢	+$17	win
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?	Yes	50¢	1¢	$-16	loss
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	55¢	38¢	$-31	loss
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	81¢	78¢	$-2	loss
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	22¢	38¢	+$37	win
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	83¢	95¢	+$0	—
Will Tesla dip to $353 in March?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$61	win
Will NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of March?	No	23¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Finance 74% +$936 $6,205 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	55¢	56¢	+$1	win
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	89¢	94¢	+$4	win
ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	41¢	72¢	+$45	win
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	16¢	28¢	+$3	win
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	22¢	22¢	+$29	win
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	81¢	52¢	$-30	loss
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	85¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	81¢	86¢	+$10	win
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	16¢	12¢	$-97	loss

Crypto 54% +$295 $4,981 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	58¢	46¢	$-4	loss
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	55¢	40¢	+$9	win
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	61¢	68¢	+$30	win
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	No	79¢	84¢	+$6	win
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	36¢	100¢	+$60	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	22¢	22¢	$-2	loss
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	ETH	12¢	0¢	+$94	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	Yes	4¢	1¢	$-23	loss
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?	No	5¢	0¢	$-37	loss

Elections 62% +$50 $65,796 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	96¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-11	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	67¢	46¢	$-17	loss
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 70% by March 31?	No	33¢	100¢	+$67	win
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?	No	62¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	74¢	0¢	+$5	win

Mentions 83% +$24 $697 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	No	52¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?	Yes	33¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?	Yes	26¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?	Yes	44¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 8–August 15?	No	97¢	100¢	+$16	win

Sports 20% $-46 $186 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	24¢	16¢	$-9	loss
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of December?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-6	loss

Economy 38% $-50 $1,270 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	27¢	26¢	+$45	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-66	loss
US recession in 2025?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Yes	17¢	18¢	+$0	—
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$13	win

Weather 0% $-65 $65 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?	No	35¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Esports 50% $-93 $193 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	T1	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	Top Esports	31¢	0¢	$-93	loss

Culture 0% $-115 $115 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)	No	57¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	No	12¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Politics 61% $-2,519 $17,309 vol · 92 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19¢	28¢	+$28	win
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	63¢	61¢	+$2	win
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	47¢	54¢	+$1	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$70	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	81¢	84¢	+$20	win
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	75¢	100¢	$-28	loss