Win rate
87.0%
67 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$1,556
realized $-21,885 · unrealized $23,441
Portfolio
$23,441
volume $135,293
Predictions
88
3.5/day · avg $1,537
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 80% +$1,157
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-315 | loss |
| Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | Yes | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election? | Yes | 55¢ | 66¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | No | 92¢ | 89¢ | $-135 | loss |
| Will Revival (Vazrazhdane) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | Yes | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$54 | win |
Other 100% +$132
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Germany join the Board of Peace? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Sports 100% +$94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Paul Hounkpè be the next President of Benin? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$687 | $5,196 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | $2,939 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $1,985 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $1,375 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 77.6¢ | 99¢ | +$67 | $4,423 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $1,275 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $986 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 67.1¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $1,550 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $725 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 67.8¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $1,008 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $477 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $984 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 65.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $976 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $393 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $136 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $136 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $84 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $201 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats? | Yes | 87.8¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $263 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats? | No | 83.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $273 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $488 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$35 | $8,807 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | +$18 | $1,420 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Paul Hounkpè be the next President of Benin? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $408 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$399 | $3,249 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%? | No | 91.7¢ | 97¢ | $-12 | $1,074 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%? | Yes | 11.4¢ | 3¢ | $-25 | $35 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $709 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $1,669 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $1,421 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,138 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $289 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $123 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $299 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in March? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 8? | No | 97.1¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $97 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election? | Yes | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $96 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Denmark join the Board of Peace? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Germany join the Board of Peace? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $153 | 31/01/2026 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $296 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | Yes | 90.2¢ | 94¢ | +$54 | $1,358 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by at least 20%? | No | 91.0¢ | 81¢ | $-103 | $1,221 | 19/04/2026 |