Win rate
88.2%
30 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$33
realized $-1,344 · unrealized $1,376
Portfolio
$1,376
volume $70,194
Predictions
115
1.9/day · avg $610
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/09/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Mentions 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Crypto 88% $-71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 18? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Recent Trades (36)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,330 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,326 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $1,287 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,286 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,250 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,233 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $1,166 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,151 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | $187 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $1,348 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,325 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 7? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $91 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $110 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 1? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $138 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $100 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 22? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $96 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $210 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $6,465 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $3,003 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $92 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,217 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $427 | 06/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | Down | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $840 | 05/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on March 4? | Up | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $900 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $992 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $25 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 66.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $166 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | Yes | 36.5¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | $186 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 18? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,333 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $195 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50.0¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | $50 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | $50 | 07/11/2028 |