SheepToken

Politics 62% +$13,279 $59,266 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	66¢	100¢	$-1,526	loss
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	63¢	72¢	+$91	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-140	loss
Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	80¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$55	win
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?	No	66¢	0¢	$-466	loss
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?	No	67¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-128	loss

Other 73% +$3,551 $120,790 vol · 71 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	7¢	6¢	$-22	loss
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	87¢	100¢	$-45	loss
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	61¢	88¢	+$73	win
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	56¢	96¢	+$18	win
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	57¢	56¢	$-30	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	No	88¢	100¢	+$423	win
BitBoy convicted?	No	73¢	100¢	+$3,788	win
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?	No	40¢	100¢	+$60	win

Sports 57% +$2,476 $10,490 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	47¢	100¢	+$2,662	win
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-247	loss
Spurs vs. Warriors	Warriors	46¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-261	loss
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$127	win
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	27¢	0¢	$-497	loss
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$189	win
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?	Yes	78¢	0¢	$-631	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?	No	84¢	100¢	+$156	win

Finance 50% +$325 $3,591 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kraken IPO in 2025?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?	No	37¢	0¢	$-292	loss
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$408	win
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?	No	81¢	100¢	+$234	win

Culture 25% +$188 $2,501 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$1,353	win
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?	No	86¢	0¢	$-147	loss
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?	Yes	65¢	0¢	$-468	loss
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-549	loss

Mentions 100% +$27 $87 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?	No	56¢	0¢	+$27	win

Elections 50% $-89 $13,189 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$285	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?	No	77¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-374	loss

Economy 0% $-299 $5,474 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	69¢	100¢	$-286	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$0	—
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	76¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	—

Esports 80% $-450 $2,090 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	93¢	100¢	+$21	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	35¢	0¢	+$5	win
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	96¢	100¢	+$20	win
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	67¢	0¢	$-527	loss

Geopolitics 60% $-1,583 $92,997 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$913	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	23¢	0¢	+$224	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$22	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	55¢	81¢	+$6	win
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-173	loss
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	55¢	90¢	+$64	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	56¢	92¢	$-27	loss
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	61¢	95¢	+$1,532	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	19¢	0¢	$-2,373	loss

Tech 47% $-3,582 $42,169 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
ChatGPT Outage by April 24?	No	30¢	0¢	$-168	loss
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-21	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-65	loss
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-436	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	17¢	0¢	$-680	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	62¢	100¢	$-1,752	loss
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-582	loss
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$7	win
OpenAI browser by October 31?	No	50¢	0¢	$-2,532	loss

Crypto 84% $-8,340 $193,525 vol · 176 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5?	No	44¢	0¢	$-1,970	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	No	32¢	0¢	$-715	loss
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$97	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	0¢	0¢	+$19	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	91¢	100¢	+$343	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	94¢	100¢	+$283	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	77¢	100¢	+$242	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	88¢	100¢	+$202	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	95¢	100¢	+$181	win