Hjklm

Other 36% +$13,111 $216,892 vol · 1265 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	3¢	34¢	+$562	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	85¢	84¢	+$2	win
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	No	100¢	10¢	$-166	loss
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	96¢	95¢	+$3	win
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	97¢	99¢	+$0	—
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	25¢	12¢	$-99	loss
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	94¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	34¢	40¢	$-42	loss

Elections 47% +$1,204 $145,850 vol · 233 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$6	win
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	99¢	$-98	loss
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	89¢	96¢	$-112	loss
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1¢	2¢	+$39	win
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	78¢	84¢	+$0	—
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	Yes	23¢	16¢	$-7	loss
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	43¢	60¢	+$2	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	99¢	100¢	$-152	loss
Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-404	loss
Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-269	loss

Sports 39% +$883 $22,750 vol · 232 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	94¢	100¢	$-33	loss
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-174	loss
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5	Under	22¢	0¢	$-439	loss
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Valspar Championship?	Yes	1¢	100¢	+$1,856	win
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Valspar Championship?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valspar Championship?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will David Ford win the 2026 Valspar Championship?	No	100¢	100¢	$-40	loss
Will Greg Koch finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Valspar Championship?	Yes	94¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-28	loss
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand	India	96¢	100¢	+$13	win

Tech 94% +$713 $2,364 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q1 2026	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?	Yes	23¢	100¢	+$692	win
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$14	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$13	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of December?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of December?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Politics 61% +$175 $31,583 vol · 149 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-49	loss
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49¢	39¢	+$58	win
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	8¢	8¢	+$11	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	29¢	0¢	+$24	win
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$8	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	55¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	14¢	12¢	+$6	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	85¢	92¢	+$2	win
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	84¢	100¢	+$0	—

Geopolitics 61% +$163 $7,607 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$97	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	22¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	97¢	98¢	$-2	loss
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	4¢	6¢	+$172	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$132	win
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-6	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$2	win

Culture 62% +$153 $4,515 vol · 66 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	84¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	14¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	24¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	67¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	93¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	19¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	92¢	0¢	+$0	—

Mentions 67% $-14 $229 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 21-28?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 58% $-63 $4,441 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	22¢	16¢	+$13	win
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	No	73¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	68¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-159	loss
Will Ethan Fang win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will Brenda Blethyn win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Finance 43% $-312 $886 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?	Up	55¢	0¢	+$22	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?	Up	64¢	100¢	+$36	win
S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?	Up	98¢	100¢	$-97	loss
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	No	17¢	0¢	$-78	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?	Down	13¢	0¢	$-194	loss
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	87¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Economy 53% $-626 $5,607 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	No	44¢	100¢	+$-0	—
US recession in 2025?	Yes	61¢	0¢	$-249	loss
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	94¢	97¢	+$3	win
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$159	win
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	No	88¢	100¢	$-148	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	19¢	0¢	+$0	—
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-82	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	No	44¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-70	loss