Win rate
70.0%
7 W / 3 L
Total PnL
$964
realized $386 · unrealized $579
Portfolio
$579
volume $15,359
Predictions
91
1.7/day · avg $169
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$639
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation? | No | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$635 | win |
Other 75% +$147
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 24¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$136 | win |
Geopolitics 50% +$89
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 58¢ | 70¢ | +$83 | win |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $-15 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 64¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Recent Trades (10)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation? | No | 32.5¢ | 100¢ | +$635 | $306 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | No | 34.8¢ | 0¢ | +$136 | $320 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $25 | 31/01/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 64.0¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | $510 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 74.0¢ | 76¢ | +$11 | $499 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 24¢ | $-3 | $47 | 31/12/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 58.0¢ | 70¢ | +$83 | $605 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 8¢ | +$4 | $23 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $33 | 31/12/2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 26.2¢ | 26¢ | $-15 | $280 | 31/12/2026 |