Win rate
10.0%
1 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$-4,485
realized $-6,463 · unrealized $1,979
Portfolio
$1,979
volume $105,385
Predictions
8
0.1/day · avg $13,173
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$708
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$708 | win |
Other 0% $-132
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | loss |
Economy 0% $-5,352
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-196 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-898 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-722 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,303 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-661 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-1,287 | loss |
Recent Trades (10)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 0¢ | $-722 | $721 | 18/03/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,303 | $2,257 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | $132 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | $189 | 30/07/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $-661 | $661 | 18/06/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 23.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,287 | $1,287 | 07/05/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$708 | $1,314 | 29/04/2025 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-898 | $915 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 6¢ | $-196 | $1,295 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 14¢ | $-95 | $956 | 29/07/2026 |