0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff

Other 65% +$3,428 $145,658 vol · 233 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	55¢	68¢	+$137	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$123	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$95	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$74	win
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Yes	25¢	23¢	+$72	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$20	win
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	87¢	90¢	+$19	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the US strike Syria next?	No	86¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 71% +$3,226 $94,715 vol · 160 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$791	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	33¢	68¢	+$7	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$114	win
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	98¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	94¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	24¢	0¢	$-24	loss
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	50¢	0¢	$-5	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-7	loss

Culture 80% +$428 $3,608 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kanye West release an album in 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$210	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	No	17¢	100¢	+$181	win
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$40	win

Elections 76% +$349 $5,580 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	31¢	35¢	$-20	loss
French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	73¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	32¢	66¢	+$325	win
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	78¢	76¢	$-1	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$107	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	77¢	85¢	$-244	loss
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	26¢	46¢	+$14	win
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	No	37¢	48¢	$-7	loss

Politics 53% +$340 $19,494 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	43¢	35¢	$-8	loss
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	Yes	57¢	43¢	+$19	win
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?	No	51¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	37¢	60¢	+$2	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	Yes	31¢	24¢	+$2	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-171	loss
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	75¢	100¢	+$6	win

Crypto 100% +$99 $117 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	Silver	65¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$91	win

Tech 100% +$48 $202 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	67¢	68¢	+$0	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 60% $-14 $823 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	No	35¢	26¢	+$23	win
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	50¢	96¢	+$20	win
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	$-32	loss
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	28¢	29¢	+$7	win

Mentions 70% $-91 $999 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?	Yes	65¢	0¢	$-134	loss
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 12, 2026?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$4	win

Sports 29% $-178 $4,469 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	82¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	29¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-94	loss
Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	91¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-87	loss

Weather 43% $-721 $2,019 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	5¢	1¢	$-10	loss
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?	No	46¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?	No	45¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?	No	47¢	0¢	$-141	loss
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	No	46¢	0¢	$-136	loss
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-228	loss
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?	No	47¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	No	49¢	100¢	+$102	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?	No	48¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	Yes	28¢	0¢	+$8	win