dailyrage

Economy 100% +$2 $224 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	34¢	26¢	+$2	win

Finance 0% +$0 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Tech 0% $-5 $37 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	31¢	100¢	$-5	loss

Sports 0% $-17 $26 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-17	loss

Elections 8% $-66 $3,960 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	81¢	81¢	$-0	loss
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	30¢	38¢	$-33	loss
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	68¢	62¢	$-36	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	62¢	61¢	$-6	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	37¢	39¢	$-20	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	62¢	90¢	$-6	loss
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$53	win
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	No	42¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-12	loss

Crypto 48% $-89 $915 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2PM ET	Down	75¢	100¢	+$9	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	83¢	100¢	+$4	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 2PM ET	Up	76¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	47¢	100¢	+$26	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	62¢	100¢	+$23	win
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	80¢	100¢	+$13	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	70¢	100¢	+$13	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	79¢	100¢	+$11	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	76¢	100¢	+$10	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	73¢	100¢	+$8	win

Weather 42% $-144 $484 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 16?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 14?	Yes	23¢	0¢	+$16	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 14?	No	76¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 14?	No	78¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?	No	71¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on March 13?	No	44¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 13?	No	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?	No	20¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 13?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Other 24% $-382 $13,956 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	61¢	25¢	$-0	loss
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	42¢	28¢	$-43	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	66¢	72¢	+$6	win
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	No	26¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	65¢	63¢	$-0	loss
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	35¢	37¢	$-0	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	69¢	56¢	$-145	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	17¢	6¢	$-2	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	23¢	28¢	+$0	win

Politics 18% $-487 $17,245 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	79¢	79¢	$-0	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	76¢	72¢	$-0	loss
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	21¢	21¢	$-0	loss
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	55¢	59¢	+$5	win
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	42¢	41¢	$-0	loss
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	23¢	17¢	$-14	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	53¢	54¢	$-185	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	44¢	46¢	$-98	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	22¢	1¢	$-2	loss

Geopolitics 10% $-1,359 $45,092 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	44¢	68¢	$-1	loss
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	7¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	20¢	18¢	$-4	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	80¢	82¢	$-5	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	56¢	32¢	$-6	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	69¢	70¢	$-108	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	30¢	30¢	$-154	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	90¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	88¢	96¢	$-23	loss