Win rate
48.8%
122 W / 128 L
Total PnL
$9,132
realized $-8,502 · unrealized $17,633
Portfolio
$17,633
volume $338,406
Predictions
357
11.1/day · avg $948
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 50% +$8,117
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 16¢ | 58¢ | +$1,544 | win |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | Yes | 21¢ | 30¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 20? | Yes | 23¢ | 12¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18? | Yes | 13¢ | 89¢ | +$274 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Up | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$171 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Up | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Up | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | win |
Geopolitics 50% +$186
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 4¢ | $-71 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$257 | win |
Politics 0% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $-47 | loss |
Economy 0% $-115
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | loss |
Other 33% $-129
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | 46¢ | 21¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | Yes | 26¢ | 4¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 50.7¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Up | 39.1¢ | 100¢ | +$171 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Up | 45.9¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 49.2¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Up | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | Up | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 13.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8,799 | $1,439 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Up | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $-193 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Up | 29.8¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Up | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $118 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Up | 49.6¢ | 0¢ | $-148 | $154 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | Yes | 41.6¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Up | 49.5¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $120 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Up | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Up | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Up | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Up | 55.9¢ | 100¢ | +$278 | $352 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Up | 51.8¢ | 100¢ | +$186 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Up | 59.4¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | $225 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | $135 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | Up | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Up | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $102 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Up | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Up | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Up | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | Yes | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $-270 | $289 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Up | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | $221 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | Up | 44.6¢ | 0¢ | $-226 | $235 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-193 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | Up | 60.7¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | $210 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Up | 71.8¢ | 0¢ | $-206 | $210 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 47.4¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | Up | 51.1¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Up | 58.6¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $125 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Up | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Up | 53.4¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | Down | 59.5¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Up | 51.1¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | $120 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Up | 50.4¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $105 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $107 | 15/04/2026 |