Win rate
24.7%
374 W / 1139 L
Total PnL
$330,036
realized $312,250 · unrealized $17,786
Portfolio
$17,786
volume $9,967,401
Predictions
1,861
11.5/day · avg $5,356
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 44% +$389,045
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | win |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-3,019 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 27¢ | 72¢ | +$142 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $-184 | loss |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $-1,525 | loss |
Economy 100% +$476
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 50% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$197 | win |
| Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-176 | loss |
Politics 8% $-4,686
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-1,159 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-245 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Elon apologize to Trump before August? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,203 | loss |
Mentions 26% $-5,891
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-147 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet between 600 and 629 times August 29–September 5? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 22–August 29? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-170 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$32 | win |
Other 29% $-18,230
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | win |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5 | Over | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-1,575 | loss |
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5 | Over | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-340 | loss |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5 | Over | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-455 | loss |
| RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5 | Over | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$1,280 | win |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5 | Over | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$205 | win |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-685 | loss |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | Under | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-269 | loss |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | Over | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-360 | loss |
Crypto 21% $-68,630
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Up | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Up | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Up | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Down | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Up | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Down | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | $132 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5 | Over | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,575 | $1,615 | 17/04/2026 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 | Over | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-759 | $760 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5 | Over | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-455 | $465 | 17/04/2026 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5 | Over | 34.4¢ | 0¢ | $-340 | $344 | 17/04/2026 |
| RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5 | Over | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,280 | $700 | 16/04/2026 |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5 | Over | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$205 | $195 | 16/04/2026 |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | $-685 | $685 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 18.9¢ | 100¢ | +$129,546 | $42,658 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | +$3,365 | $8,528 | 15/04/2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | Under | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 14/04/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | $240 | 14/04/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-269 | $270 | 14/04/2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | Over | 39.8¢ | 0¢ | $-360 | $360 | 14/04/2026 |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5 | Over | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 13/04/2026 |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5 | Over | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | $225 | 13/04/2026 |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 50.1¢ | 0¢ | $-251 | $251 | 13/04/2026 |
| Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 | Over | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-350 | $350 | 13/04/2026 |
| Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5 | Over | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-450 | $450 | 13/04/2026 |
| Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 | Over | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$245 | $170 | 12/04/2026 |
| 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | $295 | 12/04/2026 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | $165 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $171 | 12/04/2026 |
| OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $176 | 12/04/2026 |
| Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5 | Over | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $88 | 12/04/2026 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 12/04/2026 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5 | Over | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $171 | 12/04/2026 |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5 | Over | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $115 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 12/04/2026 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-162 | $210 | 12/04/2026 |
| OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $190 | 12/04/2026 |
| Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 | Over | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-220 | $345 | 12/04/2026 |
| Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5 | Over | 23.7¢ | 0¢ | $-234 | $355 | 12/04/2026 |
| VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-253 | $285 | 12/04/2026 |
| CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 | Over | 20.8¢ | 0¢ | $-426 | $426 | 12/04/2026 |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5 | Over | 27.5¢ | 0¢ | $-550 | $550 | 12/04/2026 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 50.6¢ | 0¢ | $-971 | $971 | 12/04/2026 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5 | Over | 21.9¢ | 0¢ | $-994 | $994 | 12/04/2026 |
| AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5 | Over | 31.1¢ | 0¢ | +$212 | $1,252 | 11/04/2026 |
| Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 | Over | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $328 | 11/04/2026 |
| Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-195 | $300 | 11/04/2026 |
| Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-310 | $310 | 11/04/2026 |
| RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5 | Over | 37.5¢ | 0¢ | $-519 | $789 | 11/04/2026 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5 | Over | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-555 | $555 | 11/04/2026 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5 | Over | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-585 | $585 | 11/04/2026 |
| VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 | Over | 34.5¢ | 0¢ | $-690 | $690 | 11/04/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 25.5¢ | 0¢ | $-765 | $765 | 11/04/2026 |
| Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | Over | 40.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,015 | $1,015 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Up | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |