Win rate
72.2%
13 W / 5 L
Total PnL
$387
realized $-478 · unrealized $865
Portfolio
$865
volume $12,989
Predictions
166
0.7/day · avg $78
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/06/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$192
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | win |
Crypto 80% +$99
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
Other 75% +$79
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro out in 2025? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Linea airdrop in Q1 2025? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| zkSync airdrop by June 30? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Economy 100% +$37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Sports 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Politics 0% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Recent Trades (18)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | No | 85.8¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $335 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $30 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $386 | 01/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $188 | 31/12/2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025? | No | 76.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $77 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 55.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $21 | 10/12/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | No | 66.8¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $45 | 30/11/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 21/11/2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $50 | 29/04/2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Yes | 40.5¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 20/04/2025 |
| Linea airdrop in Q1 2025? | No | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $128 | 31/03/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | No | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $38 | 07/11/2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 53.1¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $218 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | No | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 20/07/2024 |
| zkSync airdrop by June 30? | Yes | 70.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $55 | 28/06/2024 |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 78.7¢ | 78¢ | $-2 | $802 | 01/01/2027 |