MTD

Other 53% +$26,973 $378,885 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $1B in 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$0	win
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	92¢	93¢	$-1	loss
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	No	57¢	75¢	+$12	win
Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	29¢	46¢	$-40	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	70¢	64¢	$-262	loss
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	14¢	5¢	$-693	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	16¢	23¢	+$7	win
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants	Kolkata Knight Riders	94¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	87¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	75¢	99¢	+$4,913	win

Elections 64% +$17,030 $206,036 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	52¢	52¢	+$65	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	78¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	78¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	97¢	96¢	$-3	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$1,988	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$1,624	win
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	49¢	0¢	+$525	win
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?	Yes	36¢	0¢	+$206	win
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Governor Election?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$96	win
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?	Yes	38¢	0¢	+$81	win

Geopolitics 57% +$12,400 $205,784 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$32	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	25¢	30¢	+$9	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	66¢	66¢	+$7	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	36¢	19¢	+$1	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	58¢	34¢	$-69	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	92¢	92¢	+$38	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	70¢	66¢	$-34	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	96¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	77¢	84¢	$-141	loss
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-1,496	loss

Politics 49% +$11,701 $184,807 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	8¢	8¢	+$1	win
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	21¢	22¢	+$6	win
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	98¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	37¢	30¢	+$3	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	69¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	81¢	100¢	$-631	loss
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	61¢	52¢	$-293	loss
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	Yes	6¢	3¢	$-10	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	38¢	39¢	$-5	loss

Sports 95% +$309 $18,255 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Minnesota Twins	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Minnesota Twins	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	92¢	100¢	+$8	win
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox	Baltimore Orioles	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers	St. Louis Cardinals	94¢	100¢	+$13	win
Hurricanes vs. Utah	Hurricanes	84¢	100¢	+$16	win

Weather 100% +$24 $283 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	91¢	100¢	+$17	win

Tech 100% +$0 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 24?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 0% $-42 $1,101 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 24?	Down	51¢	100¢	$-19	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 24?	Up	51¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Economy 25% $-237 $2,628 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	32¢	26¢	$-70	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	99¢	+$7	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-174	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Crypto 12% $-2,198 $8,010 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	43¢	40¢	$-193	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	80¢	81¢	$-120	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	28¢	19¢	$-979	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	87¢	64¢	$-8	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	6¢	2¢	$-875	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-17	loss