Win rate
57.5%
1740 W / 1286 L
Total PnL
$-6,322
realized $-6,878 · unrealized $556
Portfolio
$556
volume $475,447
Predictions
4,543
98.1/day · avg $105
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 60% +$1,518
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Down | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Down | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Down | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Up | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Down | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | Up | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Up | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Down | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
Mentions 80% +$134
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Esports 51% +$73
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Basement Bobs - Map 1 Winner | Basement Bobs | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 42¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Inner Circle Esports | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs | FALKE ESPORTS | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | Heroic | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner | 9z | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Keyd vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs | FOLHA AMARELA | 54¢ | 50¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winner | OG | 68¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B | Tundra Esports | 86¢ | 50¢ | $-17 | loss |
Politics 83% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 42¢ | 28¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Tech 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 33¢ | 66¢ | $-2 | loss |
Finance 0% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Weather 86% $-86
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 17? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on April 17? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 17? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on April 17? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 16? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 16? | Yes | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
Geopolitics 59% $-319
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 87¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 70¢ | 84¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | No | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 42% $-2,822
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 29¢ | 40¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Hornets | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-265 | loss |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashima | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Rockets | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Spread: Hawks (-13.5) | Hawks | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Spread: Hawks (-13.5) | Grizzlies | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Lakers | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1) | Afghanistan | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1) | Netherlands | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
Other 56% $-3,380
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 78¢ | 82¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 47¢ | 76¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | Royal Challengers Bangalore | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Union Bordeaux Begles win? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano | Stefano Napolitano | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Punjab Kings | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Down | 28.7¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Rawalpindi Pindiz | Quetta Gladiators | 78.8¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $419 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Down | 56.4¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $109 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Down | 32.7¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Up | 40.2¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Down | 60.9¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 55.4¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $62 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | Up | 74.5¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $141 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Up | 58.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 36.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Down | 72.2¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | Up | 54.5¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | Down | 46.5¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Up | 51.9¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Up | 44.4¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Up | 53.1¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Up | 53.7¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | Up | 63.5¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valentin Vacherot vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Up | 67.1¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | Down | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Down | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Up | 77.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 82.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | Up | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Up | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Up | 34.7¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Down | 61.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Down | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 44.8¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Down | 70.8¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | Up | 50.1¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Down | 28.2¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Down | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $88 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Up | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-148 | $148 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17? | Yes | 85.1¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 17? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $62 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Up | 55.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Up | 49.7¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 17? | Yes | 54.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 94¢ | $-3 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants | Lucknow Super Giants | 47.7¢ | 100¢ | +$209 | $190 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 43.6¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $80 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Down | 31.8¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Down | 55.6¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $91 | 16/04/2026 |