Win rate
45.1%
100 W / 122 L
Total PnL
$1,019
realized $255 · unrealized $764
Portfolio
$764
volume $287,341
Predictions
902
18.6/day · avg $319
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 35% +$2,841
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 14¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 63¢ | 26¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 55¢ | 94¢ | +$13 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 4¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) | Panthers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$3,416 | win |
Elections 0% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-17 | loss |
Other 0% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | Yes | 19¢ | 6¢ | $-32 | loss |
Politics 0% $-47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump say "April Fool" this week? (April 5) | Yes | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Sports 49% $-100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 15¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference? | Yes | 37¢ | 37¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | 28¢ | 25¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award? | Yes | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$27 | win |
| NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Lightning Total Games O/U 5.5 | Over 5.5 | 64¢ | 62¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 44¢ | 32¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Tampa Bay Lightning advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? | No | 38¢ | 32¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Spread: Oilers (-2.5) | Canucks | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
Crypto 42% $-1,454
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-1,151 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Canucks | 27.3¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Oilers (-2.5) | Canucks | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | $160 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the New York Islanders make the NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 | Over | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Sabres | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Kings | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Predators | 30.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Ducks | Canucks | 30.5¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Maple Leafs | Stars | 49.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Flyers | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Utah vs. Flames | Utah | 42.4¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Blue Jackets | Bruins | 43.4¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $70 | 12/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Capitals | Penguins | 32.1¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Capitals (-1.5) | Penguins | 55.7¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Stars | Stars | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Penguins | 38.6¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 11/04/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Kings | Oilers | 44.8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Stars (-1.5) | Wild | 66.8¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $160 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Hurricanes | 49.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Blues | Jets | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 10/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Stars | Wild | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 10/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Ducks | Sharks | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) | Predators | 61.5¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Sharks | Oilers | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Panthers | 24.9¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $65 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) | Panthers | 49.6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Predators vs. Ducks | Predators | 47.1¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $30 | 08/04/2026 |
| Flames vs. Stars | Stars | 61.4¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $32 | 08/04/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5 | Under | 61.7¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $25 | 08/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Oilers | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) | Rangers | 61.3¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Bruins | 59.3¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings | Blue Jackets | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 07/04/2026 |
| Predators vs. Kings | Predators | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Hurricanes | Bruins | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) | Lightning | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | Avalanche | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 65.1¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | Over | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $20 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "April Fool" this week? (April 5) | Yes | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Devils | Canadiens | 67.3¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $40 | 04/04/2026 |
| Utah vs. Canucks | Utah | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $30 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Wild (-2.5) | Canucks | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5 | Over | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $20 | 02/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Flyers | Red Wings | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) | Ducks | 72.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $30 | 02/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 22.4¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 02/04/2026 |