Win rate
60.0%
9 W / 6 L
Total PnL
$5,899
realized $-9,204 · unrealized $15,103
Portfolio
$15,103
volume $114,723
Predictions
15
0.5/day · avg $7,648
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 70% +$5,242
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | loss |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | No | 63¢ | 42¢ | $-2,871 | loss |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 34¢ | $-569 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 41¢ | 92¢ | +$1,033 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$305 | win |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$786 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$1,862 | win |
Politics 100% +$1,062
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,062 | win |
Other 33% +$1,060
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$1,164 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
Tech 0% $-144
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | $-144 | loss |
Recent Trades (15)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 99¢ | +$1,164 | $3,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 83.8¢ | 100¢ | +$305 | $1,587 | 10/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,062 | $9,562 | 07/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 79.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,862 | $7,407 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 76.4¢ | 100¢ | +$786 | $3,859 | 31/03/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | 77.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 60.8¢ | 100¢ | $-144 | $996 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 92¢ | +$1,066 | $6,931 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 40.6¢ | 92¢ | +$1,033 | $2,201 | 18/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | No | 63.5¢ | 42¢ | $-2,871 | $8,690 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.7¢ | 34¢ | $-569 | $3,655 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 66.6¢ | 97¢ | +$2,701 | $6,327 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026? | No | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,045 | $7,317 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 41.3¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $279 | 30/04/2026 |