Win rate
4.1%
2 W / 47 L
Total PnL
$-115
realized $-1,166 · unrealized $1,051
Portfolio
$1,051
volume $94,158
Predictions
54
1.8/day · avg $1,744
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Solana reach $120 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 7% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 0% $-75
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Blackhawks vs. Sharks | Blackhawks | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Jets vs. Stars | Jets | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $1,477 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $864 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $997 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 8? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 08/04/2026 |
| Blackhawks vs. Sharks | Blackhawks | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 07/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Stars | Jets | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in March? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $72 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $868 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $875 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $875 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $922 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $960 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $971 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,940 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,860 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,625 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $970 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 81.0¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | $810 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $884 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $943 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,802 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $744 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $751 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $751 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $865 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $869 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $882 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $899 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $906 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,713 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,821 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $824 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $728 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $749 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $813 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $827 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $849 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $912 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,701 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $784 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99.7¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $914 | 30/04/2027 |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99.9¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $925 | 30/04/2027 |
| Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $71 | 01/01/2028 |
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 99.5¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $83 | 01/01/2028 |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $743 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $743 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $761 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $781 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $794 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $825 | 07/11/2028 |