0xfc0a...95ca

Geopolitics 61% +$217 $2,051 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	59¢	82¢	+$9	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	69¢	78¢	+$13	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	77¢	94¢	+$11	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	72¢	71¢	$-1	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	36¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	42¢	100¢	+$78	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	47¢	90¢	+$21	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$5	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	81¢	100¢	+$25	win

Politics 54% +$101 $948 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4¢	6¢	+$16	win
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	39¢	39¢	$-3	loss
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	34¢	8¢	$-17	loss
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	34¢	8¢	$-30	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	21¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	No	80¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?	No	66¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$10	win

Other 43% +$89 $550 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	43¢	46¢	+$4	win
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	No	63¢	100¢	+$37	win
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	48¢	100¢	$-11	loss
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	24¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?	No	9¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$174	win
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?	No	40¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Elections 71% +$74 $868 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	64¢	64¢	+$17	win
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Yes	82¢	82¢	+$1	win
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	No	44¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	39¢	100¢	+$87	win

Tech 50% $-40 $302 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	35¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$17	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$26	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	20¢	0¢	$-52	loss

Culture 0% $-58 $58 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	40¢	0¢	$-58	loss

Crypto 50% $-59 $424 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	No	62¢	100¢	+$14	win