Eutambemsou

Geopolitics 46% +$540 $2,182 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	37¢	0¢	$-57	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	30¢	16¢	$-23	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	27¢	30¢	+$4	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	20¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	7¢	4¢	$-9	loss
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	80¢	97¢	+$5	win
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	17¢	100¢	+$1,024	win
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	82¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	64¢	100¢	+$62	win
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?	No	44¢	100¢	+$48	win

Tech 62% +$155 $858 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	72¢	74¢	+$1	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	32¢	24¢	$-80	loss
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?	Yes	16¢	9¢	$-12	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	83¢	86¢	+$2	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	36¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	82¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$9	win
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?	No	85¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?	No	5¢	0¢	$-62	loss

Mentions 100% +$26 $22 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$26	win

Economy 71% +$6 $352 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	19¢	8¢	$-38	loss
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	34¢	92¢	+$58	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	87¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	No	86¢	100¢	+$5	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?	No	87¢	100¢	+$5	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win

Sports 50% $-157 $690 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?	No	60¢	56¢	$-3	loss
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	16¢	16¢	$-0	loss
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	68¢	55¢	$-23	loss
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Jenning De Boo (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	77¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?	No	66¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will River Plate win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?	No	55¢	100¢	+$18	win

Politics 59% $-201 $2,416 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	85¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	25¢	42¢	+$19	win
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	33¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$140	win
Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?	No	63¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	39¢	0¢	$-32	loss

Elections 58% $-256 $2,443 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	43¢	40¢	$-37	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	75¢	61¢	$-4	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	31¢	10¢	$-27	loss
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	No	43¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	71¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	No	8¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	No	21¢	0¢	$-85	loss

Other 52% $-303 $7,007 vol · 88 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	50¢	68¢	+$17	win
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	40¢	32¢	$-20	loss
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	39¢	29¢	$-16	loss
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	28¢	36¢	+$9	win
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	68¢	66¢	$-2	loss
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	77¢	78¢	+$0	win
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	65¢	45¢	$-116	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	58¢	55¢	$-12	loss
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	66¢	62¢	$-2	loss
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	Yes	20¢	18¢	$-4	loss

Culture 70% $-509 $2,973 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	62¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	64¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	23¢	0¢	$-173	loss
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	31¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	88¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	70¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	No	92¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Will Train Dreams win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?	No	31¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will Naomi Ackie win Best Supporting Performance at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Endless Cookie win Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Crypto 41% $-861 $4,976 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	37¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	22¢	2¢	$-40	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	75¢	40¢	$-26	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	No	34¢	0¢	$-312	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?	No	80¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-57	loss
XRP all time high before 2026?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$560	win
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$105	win