Win rate
55.6%
5 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$-7
realized $-1,146 · unrealized $1,139
Portfolio
$1,139
volume $31,339
Predictions
89
0.6/day · avg $352
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 20/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 33% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-4 | loss |
Other 50% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (13)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.1¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $1,041 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 96.2¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $1,034 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,045 | 07/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 95.1¢ | 95¢ | $-2 | $1,141 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | $1,136 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 3¢ | $-4 | $148 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84.8¢ | 84¢ | $-6 | $1,038 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $320 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 5.5¢ | 6¢ | $-5 | $124 | 31/10/2026 |