0xfaB0fE406e35aF851E50725B5cffe883Bb90Bd9C-1775825932945

Geopolitics 50% +$68 $348 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	61¢	38¢	$-46	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	56¢	85¢	+$114	win

Economy 50% +$13 $172 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	27¢	23¢	$-20	loss
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	39¢	93¢	+$32	win

Finance 0% $-0 $34 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	47¢	46¢	$-0	loss

Crypto 0% $-1 $65 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	76¢	79¢	$-0	loss
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	47¢	78¢	$-1	loss

Elections 0% $-53 $199 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	24¢	24¢	$-2	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	77¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	69¢	0¢	$-51	loss

Other 38% $-589 $1,440 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	53¢	80¢	+$97	win
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	24¢	16¢	$-29	loss
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	46¢	41¢	$-11	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	74¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	29¢	1¢	$-294	loss
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	74¢	80¢	+$14	win