Win rate
70.2%
66 W / 28 L
Total PnL
$820
realized $-784 · unrealized $1,604
Portfolio
$1,604
volume $592,615
Predictions
157
1.9/day · avg $3,775
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 69% +$936
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 77¢ | 70¢ | $-169 | loss |
| Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 100% +$276
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankalaev vs. Pereira | Pereira | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$276 | win |
Crypto 75% +$162
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 97¢ | 94¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be above $180 on December 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on December 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on December 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 0% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
Politics 75% $-75
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 93¢ | 58¢ | $-135 | loss |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 57% $-415
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | $-398 | loss |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by November 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by October 3? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | No | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $96 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $3.60 in January? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $2,600 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in January? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $5,224 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $2,222 | 01/02/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $3,713 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,235 | 01/01/2026 |
| Meteora FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $5,314 | 01/01/2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $7,297 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $1,235 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by November 30? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $3,124 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,857 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| US strikes Nigeria by November 30? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $2,391 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $3,187 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,877 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $646 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $646 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $795 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $795 | 31/12/2025 |
| SBF released from custody in 2025? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $797 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 28? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $2,398 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | No | 41.3¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $397 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $180 on December 19? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $753 | 19/12/2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on December 19? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $550 | 19/12/2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on December 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $520 | 18/12/2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $180 on December 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $1,506 | 18/12/2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $170 on December 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $797 | 18/12/2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $753 | 17/12/2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 12? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $646 | 12/12/2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 11? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $598 | 11/12/2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,880 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,700 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $2,677 | 31/10/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $99 | 29/10/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $5,630 | 24/10/2025 |
| Ankalaev vs. Pereira | Pereira | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$276 | $124 | 11/10/2025 |
| US strikes Iran by October 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $6,028 | 03/10/2025 |
| US strikes Iran by October 3? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $905 | 03/10/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,198 | 30/09/2025 |
| Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$298 | $700 | 01/01/1970 |
| Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $2,400 | 01/01/1970 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $12,365 | 01/01/1970 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | 97.2¢ | 96¢ | +$16 | $15,073 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $23 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Solana reach $580 before 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,887 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $990 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,877 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Solana reach $400 before 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $646 | 01/01/1970 |