BABELCONSTEL

Weather 100% +$7,217 $15,096 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$1,419	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$5,769	win
Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	97¢	100¢	+$30	win

Economy 80% +$7,007 $48,347 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Grambling State Tigers	Grambling State Tigers	95¢	100¢	+$197	win
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State	Wake Forest	85¢	100¢	+$6,688	win
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State	Mississippi State	0¢	0¢	$-170	loss
UMBC Retrievers vs. Coppin State Eagles	UMBC Retrievers	99¢	100¢	+$30	win
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State	Ole Miss	94¢	100¢	+$261	win

Politics 75% +$1,152 $54,123 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$345	win
Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?	No	93¢	100¢	+$339	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	$-501	loss

Esports 100% +$1,025 $6,972 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: SLT vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)	Gen.G Esports	90¢	100¢	+$234	win
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)	FaZe	78¢	100¢	+$791	win

Elections 0% $-23 $20,000 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-23	loss

Culture 60% $-1,756 $36,312 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$3,670	win
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$337	win
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$1,201	win

Geopolitics 29% $-20,282 $303,878 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	86¢	0¢	$-671	loss
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-889	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$30,996	win
Ducks vs. Senators	Ducks	41¢	0¢	$-9,773	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$5,667	win
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	84¢	0¢	$-13,543	loss
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-5,775	loss
Red Wings vs. Senators	Red Wings	91¢	100¢	+$156	win
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5	Under	56¢	0¢	$-1,000	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	90¢	100¢	+$153	win

Crypto 44% $-40,958 $214,363 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	53¢	100¢	+$1,158	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	54¢	0¢	$-1,193	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	53¢	0¢	$-531	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	50¢	0¢	$-193	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	15¢	0¢	$-88	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	52¢	0¢	$-4,263	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	46¢	100¢	+$2,919	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	53¢	100¢	+$1,158	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	55¢	0¢	$-2,756	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	53¢	0¢	$-1,083	loss

Tech 0% $-86,035 $108,151 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-86,035	loss

Other 69% $-126,597 $2,801,020 vol · 261 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	16¢	11¢	+$2,048	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	$-26	loss
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	67¢	82¢	$-63	loss
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	No	93¢	89¢	$-12,722	loss
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-13,500	loss
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	17¢	0¢	$-17,914	loss
The Masters 2026: Hole in One?	No	47¢	0¢	$-1,759	loss
Will Scottie Scheffler make the cut at the 2026 Masters?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1,362	win
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	73¢	0¢	+$1,537	win
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Iowa State Cyclones	99¢	100¢	+$5	win

Sports 65% $-156,517 $8,894,887 vol · 637 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	5¢	4¢	$-30	loss
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	15¢	15¢	$-8	loss
Wild vs. Stars	Wild	94¢	91¢	$-726	loss
Utah vs. Flames	Flames	75¢	100¢	+$10,857	win
Canucks vs. Sharks	Sharks	80¢	0¢	$-10,000	loss
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs	Panthers	87¢	100¢	+$3,347	win
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Timberwolves	85¢	100¢	+$1,316	win
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	93¢	100¢	+$753	win
Mavericks vs. Spurs	Spurs	98¢	100¢	+$190	win
Predators vs. Utah	Utah	95¢	100¢	+$725	win