Win rate
85.8%
828 W / 137 L
Total PnL
$9,022
realized $711 · unrealized $8,312
Portfolio
$8,312
volume $1,720,141
Predictions
1,039
10.7/day · avg $1,656
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 92% +$4,876
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | loss |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Nets vs. 76ers | 76ers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Magic vs. Timberwolves | Magic | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$176 | win |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
Crypto 97% +$2,740
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $80 on April 16? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 15? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on April 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 on April 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 87% +$2,238
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30? | Yes | 43¢ | 24¢ | +$0 | — |
| Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31? | Yes | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | Yes | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 67¢ | 60¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | No | 74¢ | 17¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$10 | win |
| BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Huesler | Botic van de Zandschulp | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner | Oh My God | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Brumbies win? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Elections 100% +$232
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R) | Tran | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| 3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | win |
| Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Kamala lead by by 1.5-1.9 August 23? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Mentions 91% +$112
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 90¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Esports 86% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner | Fire Flux Esports | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | XLG Gaming | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner | ARCRED | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Gentle Mates | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-336 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Fire Flux Esports | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner | B8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner | Brute | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BBL Esports | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | loss |
Finance 50% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will anyone say "Partnership" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 73% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Yes | 78¢ | 70¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Senators vs. Oilers | Oilers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Ducks vs. Senators | Senators | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Borussia Dortmund end in a draw? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Borussia Dortmund beat Sturm Graz? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
Economy 50% $-46
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Tech 60% $-58
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Grok" during earnings call? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Competition" during earnings call? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Politics 55% $-781
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 72¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 62¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $6,660 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner | Oh My God | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $72 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,907 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Brumbies win? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $155 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $5,890 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 90¢ | +$4 | $136 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 69¢ | +$3 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $582 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $945 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 on April 16? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | $4,638 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 62¢ | $-35 | $161 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $5,595 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 99¢ | +$28 | $1,353 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $714 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | FURIA | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $455 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner | Fire Flux Esports | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $202 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $162 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner | XLG Gaming | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $322 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 15? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $2,985 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $85 | 16/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants | Lucknow Super Giants | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,135 | 16/04/2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $194 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,994 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $2,032 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | XLG Gaming | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $96 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,447 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner | ARCRED | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,099 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $405 | 16/04/2026 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Gentle Mates | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | $-336 | $1,160 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $321 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $480 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | $299 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Fire Flux Esports | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $164 | 15/04/2026 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 15? | Down | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $978 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner | B8 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $6,430 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $6,023 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $259 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner | Brute | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | $484 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BBL Esports | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $1,280 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-228 | $228 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$60 | $560 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $464 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | MOUZ | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $218 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs ALIS VENTORUS - Game 2 Winner | MOUZ | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $153 | 14/04/2026 |