bau7

Tech 36% +$30,214 $49,350 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	37¢	100¢	$-551	loss
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	35¢	0¢	$-914	loss
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on February 27?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-34	loss
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on February 27?	No	57¢	0¢	$-182	loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on February 13?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$925	win
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	4¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-442	loss
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	No	73¢	100¢	+$5,369	win
Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$1,705	win

Sports 32% +$1,208 $12,192 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9¢	8¢	$-39	loss
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	9¢	8¢	$-56	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Elina Svitolina	Eva Lys	18¢	0¢	+$3	win
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals	Chicago White Sox	37¢	100¢	+$1	win
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Boston Red Sox	52¢	100¢	+$0	—
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	New York Yankees	56¢	0¢	+$0	—
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Viktoriya Tomova	Viktoriya Tomova	47¢	0¢	+$0	—
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Washington Nationals	36¢	100¢	+$0	—
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners	Houston Astros	41¢	0¢	+$0	—
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	47¢	0¢	+$0	—

Politics 38% +$166 $11,730 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-109	loss
Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Billy Harris	Billy Harris	20¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-159	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-123	loss
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	54¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	37¢	0¢	+$0	—
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$2,319	win
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-416	loss
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-274	loss

Culture 0% +$0 $479 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alvaro Guillen Meza	Alvaro Guillen Meza	48¢	0¢	+$0	—

Esports 50% $-3 $580 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs	Lavked	53¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B	TheMongolz	28¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 33% $-76 $11,361 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	49¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	Yes	8¢	100¢	+$698	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	Yes	14¢	100¢	+$200	win
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	Yes	57¢	0¢	+$108	win
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	No	84¢	0¢	+$24	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-164	loss
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-64	loss

Economy 0% $-439 $626 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Giulio Zeppieri	Giulio Zeppieri	26¢	0¢	+$0	—
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-435	loss

Finance 30% $-474 $3,459 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?	Down	17¢	0¢	$-121	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?	Up	33¢	100¢	+$13	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?	Down	60¢	100¢	$-3	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?	Down	43¢	100¢	+$8	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?	Up	45¢	0¢	$-18	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?	Down	56¢	0¢	$-2	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 20?	Down	37¢	100¢	+$88	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 19?	Down	52¢	100¢	$-55	loss
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 17?	Up	49¢	0¢	$-269	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?	Up	56¢	100¢	$-117	loss

Elections 8% $-604 $10,193 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	65¢	29¢	$-16	loss
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	$-31	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-858	loss
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	No	33¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by less than 15%?	No	78¢	100¢	$-28	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-37	loss

Geopolitics 24% $-645 $16,626 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$682	win
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-83	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	57¢	30¢	$-485	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	13¢	20¢	+$255	win
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	7¢	2¢	$-252	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	86¢	79¢	+$5	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$0	—
Iran leadership change by March 31?	No	67¢	100¢	+$0	—
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Crypto 35% $-12,514 $150,170 vol · 97 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$207	win
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	43¢	28¢	+$30	win
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	14¢	0¢	$-171	loss
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-272	loss
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	56¢	72¢	+$508	win
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	96¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	99¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	No	97¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Other 31% $-24,213 $445,627 vol · 675 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-308	loss
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	2¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	4¢	0¢	$-241	loss
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	7¢	100¢	+$891	win
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-804	loss
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$16	win
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	61¢	0¢	$-1,151	loss
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	38¢	0¢	$-986	loss
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	73¢	100¢	$-574	loss