Win rate
68.6%
59 W / 27 L
Total PnL
$87,049
realized $46,059 · unrealized $40,990
Portfolio
$40,990
volume $611,676
Predictions
91
0.7/day · avg $6,722
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/02/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 85% +$41,294
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 48¢ | 18¢ | $-194 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 30¢ | $-5,701 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 47¢ | 70¢ | +$874 | win |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 63¢ | 84¢ | +$236 | win |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | No | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$59 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 82¢ | 78¢ | $-91 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$502 | win |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | No | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$3,899 | win |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$3,475 | win |
Politics 76% +$25,227
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 9¢ | 21¢ | +$699 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$1,321 | win |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$320 | win |
| Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$2,053 | win |
| Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$466 | win |
| Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May? | No | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$4,695 | win |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | No | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$6,249 | win |
Sports 60% +$10,290
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 11¢ | 6¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | 22¢ | 100¢ | +$5,231 | win |
| Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$503 | win |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Usyk | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$5,075 | win |
Other 53% +$10,060
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 73¢ | 84¢ | +$685 | win |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-5,500 | loss |
| Zelensky resigns in 2025? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$555 | win |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-5,000 | loss |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$3,110 | win |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$2,974 | win |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
Elections 100% +$4,019
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$2,106 | win |
| Ukraine election called in 2025? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$1,334 | win |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$524 | win |
Esports 20% $-4,047
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 27¢ | 26¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A | Natus Vincere | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-2,222 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Natus Vincere | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Natus Vincere | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$4,423 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3) | Passion UA | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) | Natus Vincere | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1) | B8 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1) | B8 | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$670 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1) | Natus Vincere | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-1,500 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1) | Passion UA | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 70.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2,106 | $5,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | No | 62.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,184 | $2,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | No | 49.9¢ | 100¢ | +$502 | $500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | No | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$320 | $2,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | No | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A | Natus Vincere | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,222 | $2,221 | 03/02/2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | No | 33.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3,899 | $1,960 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | No | 80.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3,475 | $14,134 | 31/12/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,397 | $2,149 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? | No | 57.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2,461 | $3,300 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | No | 74.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2,131 | $6,100 | 31/12/2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,905 | $10,002 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine election called in 2025? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,334 | $1,700 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | No | 55.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,302 | $1,600 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025? | No | 81.4¢ | 100¢ | +$594 | $2,600 | 31/12/2025 |
| Zelensky resigns in 2025? | No | 75.4¢ | 100¢ | +$555 | $1,700 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | No | 69.3¢ | 100¢ | +$524 | $1,181 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$257 | $5,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | No | 63.7¢ | 100¢ | +$250 | $439 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $400 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31? | No | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $300 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $100 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | No | 52.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,100 | $1,100 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15? | No | 11.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Natus Vincere | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | $2,000 | 14/12/2025 |
| Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 14/12/2025 |
| Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025? | Yes | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 14/12/2025 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Natus Vincere | 25.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4,423 | $1,500 | 12/12/2025 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | 22.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5,231 | $1,516 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$503 | $15,550 | 07/12/2025 |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3) | Passion UA | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 07/12/2025 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) | Natus Vincere | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 06/12/2025 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1) | B8 | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | $1,999 | 05/12/2025 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1) | B8 | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$670 | $200 | 04/12/2025 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1) | Natus Vincere | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,500 | $1,500 | 04/12/2025 |
| Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1) | Passion UA | 16.7¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 04/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | $2,000 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31? | No | 49.7¢ | 100¢ | +$608 | $600 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? | No | 30.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5,009 | $2,200 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy before October? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,695 | $30,000 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? | No | 48.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2,970 | $2,800 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | No | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | No | 75.4¢ | 100¢ | +$980 | $3,000 | 31/08/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$270 | $600 | 31/08/2025 |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Usyk | 76.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5,075 | $16,900 | 20/07/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | No | 59.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10,951 | $16,222 | 30/06/2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | No | 77.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2,053 | $6,932 | 30/06/2025 |
| Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $100 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | No | 68.5¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $264 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 7.3¢ | 100¢ | +$9,270 | $730 | 31/05/2025 |