Win rate
90.6%
562 W / 58 L
Total PnL
$-26
realized $-1,517 · unrealized $1,491
Portfolio
$1,491
volume $62,204
Predictions
2,204
45.7/day · avg $28
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 92% +$29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 75¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $170? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Weather 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on April 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 86% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | Yes | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 91% $-69
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Rockets | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Lakers | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Magic vs. Bulls | Magic | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Heat | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Suns | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Warriors | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Thunder | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Mentions 88% $-104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Geopolitics 68% $-125
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 65¢ | 94¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 32¢ | 6¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 93¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 99¢ | 7¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 26, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 90% $-184
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Vitality.Bee | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| LoL: Conviction vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winner | Conviction | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner | LOS | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner | Vivo Keyd Stars | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | FlyQuest | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | LOUD | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Cloud9 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 94% $-258
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18? | Yes | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 17? | No | 95¢ | 93¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18? | No | 98¢ | 93¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 18? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 17? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 83% $-547
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | HMBLE | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Sentinels | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | FlyQuest | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | MOUZ | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17? | Yes | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 16? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 17? | Yes | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 17? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Vitality.Bee | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 16? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 17? | Yes | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Conviction vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winner | Conviction | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 16? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 17? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 17? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | HMBLE | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17? | No | 89.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | No | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | No | 88.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 15? | No | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 15? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 15? | No | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 15? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Sentinels | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 15? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 15? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 16? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 15? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 16? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 88.2¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 88.2¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 81.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15? | No | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | Yes | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15? | No | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner | Vivo Keyd Stars | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 14? | Yes | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | FlyQuest | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $46 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 15? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |