Win rate
16.9%
15 W / 74 L
Total PnL
$-1,534
realized $-3,121 · unrealized $1,587
Portfolio
$1,587
volume $178,048
Predictions
103
2.3/day · avg $1,729
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Economy 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Culture 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Geopolitics 40% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 76¢ | 92¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 13¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 6% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 24% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Set 1 Winner: Jones vs Gentzsch | Gentzsch | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
Sports 10% $-376
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Clippers | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Ducks vs. Maple Leafs | Ducks | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Red Wings | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Clippers | Knicks | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Pacers vs. Lakers | Lakers | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Devils vs. Blues | Blues | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $981 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $985 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,825 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,007 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $78 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $612 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $735 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $73 | 14/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Clippers | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $66 | 14/03/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Maple Leafs | Ducks | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 12/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Red Wings | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 10/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Clippers | Knicks | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $77 | 10/03/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Jones vs Gentzsch | Gentzsch | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | $95 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 08/03/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Lakers | Lakers | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $97 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO end in a draw? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $51 | 07/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $65 | 06/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| Devils vs. Blues | Blues | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $105 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 11/02/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Warriors | Warriors | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 04/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $641 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $373 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $487 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | $78 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $916 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $966 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $981 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,003 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,004 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,641 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $708 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $769 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $649 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 76.0¢ | 92¢ | $-5 | $380 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $832 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,332 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $2,237 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $2,383 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $603 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $775 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $793 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $867 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $989 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Cezchia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,506 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,626 | 20/07/2026 |