Win rate
26.3%
52 W / 146 L
Total PnL
$4,565
realized $2,420 · unrealized $2,145
Portfolio
$2,145
volume $410,160
Predictions
912
14.9/day · avg $450
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 33% +$96
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump endorse John Cornyn for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 21? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | win |
Crypto 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 30¢ | +$12 | win |
Tech 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Other 50% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Finance 0% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
Weather 25% $-5,641
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 17? | Yes | 27¢ | 12¢ | $-78 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17? | Yes | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 17? | Yes | 57¢ | 50¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 17? | Yes | 43¢ | 60¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 17? | Yes | 40¢ | 15¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17? | Yes | 42¢ | 29¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on April 16? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 16? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 17? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 1¢ | $-24 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 17? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 12¢ | $-78 | $154 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17? | Yes | 14.4¢ | 16¢ | +$2 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 17? | Yes | 10.7¢ | 14¢ | +$3 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 17? | Yes | 22.2¢ | 8¢ | $-21 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 17? | Yes | 35.4¢ | 38¢ | +$2 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 17? | Yes | 42.9¢ | 60¢ | +$17 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 17? | Yes | 39.6¢ | 15¢ | $-48 | $84 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17? | Yes | 25.9¢ | 28¢ | +$1 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 17? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 50¢ | $-4 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17? | Yes | 42.3¢ | 29¢ | $-7 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.4¢ | 66¢ | +$21 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on April 16? | Yes | 13.7¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $106 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 16? | Yes | 68.5¢ | 100¢ | +$218 | $716 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 16? | Yes | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16? | Yes | 58.9¢ | 100¢ | +$181 | $295 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 16? | Yes | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $80 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 16? | Yes | 9.3¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 10.2¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 16? | Yes | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $84 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 16? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $39 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 16? | Yes | 67.9¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $140 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 16? | Yes | 61.1¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $122 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 16? | Yes | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $76 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 16? | Yes | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $114 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 16? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 16? | Yes | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 55.3¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16? | Yes | 25.9¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | $145 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on April 16? | Yes | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $47 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 16? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | $62 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 16? | Yes | 31.5¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $28 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16? | Yes | 25.9¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $54 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 16? | Yes | 23.8¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 47.5¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $124 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on April 16? | Yes | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $131 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 15? | Yes | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | $161 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on April 15? | Yes | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $-203 | $265 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 15? | Yes | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $102 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 15? | Yes | 20.2¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | $98 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 15? | Yes | 29.5¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $96 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 15? | Yes | 22.1¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $67 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on April 15? | Yes | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 15? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 15? | Yes | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 15? | Yes | 28.3¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $76 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 15? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 15? | Yes | 26.6¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $33 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 15? | Yes | 42.6¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $80 | 15/04/2026 |