Win rate
80.0%
319 W / 80 L
Total PnL
$-173
realized $-734 · unrealized $562
Portfolio
$562
volume $90,656
Predictions
1,778
8.8/day · avg $51
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 92% +$94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Russia vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5 | Over | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Spread: Russia (-1.5) | Russia | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Dominican Rep. | Dominican Rep. | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Israel | Venezuela | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Izyan Ahmad | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5 | Over | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Mentions 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Alabama Crimson Tide | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Other 84% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kash Patel out by April 30? | No | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$2 | win |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 35¢ | 34¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 50¢ | 74¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima | Arthur Fils | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5) | Vitality | 47¢ | 46¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Vitality win the ESL Grand Slam at IEM Rio? | Yes | 67¢ | 60¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot | Carlos Alcaraz | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Barcelona Open, Qualification: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alexandre Muller | Alexandre Muller | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Politics 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | No | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $-0 | loss |
Weather 88% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 5? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on March 30? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on March 29? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on March 29? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on March 28? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 27? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 27? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 27? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 27? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Georgetown Hoyas vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Tech 0% $-78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
Crypto 81% $-91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3AM ET | Down | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | Up | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Down | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Down | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 17? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Down | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Sports 71% $-168
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 41¢ | 46¢ | +$11 | win |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | 74¢ | 73¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$1 | win |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5 | Under | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$1 | win |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Clippers | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-262 | loss |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Spread: Thunder (-13.5) | Thunder | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 15¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Esports 71% $-456
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Spirit | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) | Bilibili Gaming | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-286 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 1 Winner | Voca | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Top Esports | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot | Carlos Alcaraz | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $64 | 18/04/2026 |
| Barcelona Open, Qualification: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alexandre Muller | Alexandre Muller | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $31 | 18/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | Vitality | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $32 | 18/04/2026 |
| BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan | Roberto Carballes Baena | 60.2¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 25.1¢ | 26¢ | +$1 | $20 | 18/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5 | Under | 39.0¢ | 40¢ | +$1 | $23 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Spirit | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $175 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $109 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Clippers | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) | Bilibili Gaming | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 69.5¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $139 | 16/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 71.1¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $284 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $39 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 78.1¢ | 100¢ | $-286 | $990 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $288 | 13/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) | Vitality | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $190 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 89.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $80 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 85.7¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $130 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $76 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 84.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $67 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-262 | $262 | 12/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $126 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $23 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 10/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | Astralis | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $36 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $189 | 09/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Thunder | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $950 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-13.5) | Thunder | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $20 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bucharest Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex Molcan | Gabriel Diallo | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $42 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 14.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $45 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 89.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $44 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 1 Winner | Voca | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Top Esports | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $90 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 5? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 05/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff | Aryna Sabalenka | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $42 | 04/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 03/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Suns | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | $139 | 02/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Hornets | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $52 | 02/04/2026 |
| Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Andrea Guerrieri | Daniel Altmaier | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $37 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bucaramanga: Nicolas Villalon vs Juan Manuel La Serna | Juan Manuel La Serna | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 02/04/2026 |
| Dubrovnik: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Veronika Erjavec | Veronika Erjavec | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $22 | 01/04/2026 |
| Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormo | Tamara Zidansek | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $34 | 01/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula | Elena Rybakina | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $35 | 01/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 66.9¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 01/04/2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 01/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |