Win rate
72.0%
18 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$106
realized $-4,135 · unrealized $4,242
Portfolio
$4,242
volume $153,982
Predictions
30
0.6/day · avg $5,133
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 64% +$577
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 73¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | — |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$2,087 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$533 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 34¢ | 32¢ | $-981 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$13 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 44¢ | +$167 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-1,302 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
Politics 50% +$42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 39¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$35 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 44¢ | 64¢ | +$24 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 56¢ | 36¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 27¢ | 1¢ | $-16 | loss |
Other 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei seen in public by March 2? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 25? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 3? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 2? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Solana reach $120 in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19? | Down | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (27)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,302 | $1,302 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 50.3¢ | 18¢ | +$200 | $8,516 | 07/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $120 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $809 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | No | 78.2¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $93 | 31/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19? | Down | 45.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $551 | 19/03/2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 2? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 3? | Yes | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 25? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $295 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 2? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in February? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $303 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 01/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 90.2¢ | 0¢ | $-310 | $332 | 28/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | No | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $303 | 31/01/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 71.3¢ | 88¢ | +$425 | $2,195 | 22/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | +$35 | $156 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 44.0¢ | 64¢ | +$24 | $818 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 36¢ | +$0 | $224 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 1¢ | $-16 | $432 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 45.3¢ | 10¢ | $-325 | $618 | 15/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 67.0¢ | 44¢ | +$167 | $2,054 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 71.0¢ | 92¢ | +$13 | $298 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 34.4¢ | 32¢ | $-981 | $7,585 | 31/12/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 68.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2,087 | $4,516 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 62.7¢ | 100¢ | +$533 | $895 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 73.0¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | $197 | 31/12/2027 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 38.9¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | $467 | 07/11/2028 |