Win rate
18.0%
18 W / 82 L
Total PnL
$-1,455
realized $-2,793 · unrealized $1,338
Portfolio
$1,338
volume $208,773
Predictions
113
2.5/day · avg $1,848
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$74
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 75% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Culture 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
Other 22% $-226
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
| Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Sports 7% $-1,344
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Knicks | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-1,409 | loss |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Raptors | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans | Raptors | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Bucks | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Weibo Gaming | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$269 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,136 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,153 | 13/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Knicks | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,409 | $1,409 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $74 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,157 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $58 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $174 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,064 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,181 | 15/03/2026 |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $55 | 14/03/2026 |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Raptors | 61.9¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $79 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 12/03/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans | Raptors | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 12/03/2026 |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Bucks | 46.9¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10? | No | 77.9¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $118 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 07/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $109 | 07/03/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Weibo Gaming | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | +$269 | $71 | 05/03/2026 |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $69 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $123 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 10/02/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | 76ers | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $70 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $154 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $571 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $107 | 01/02/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $94 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $612 | 28/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $618 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,031 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,212 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,253 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,232 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $120 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $570 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,119 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $982 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,043 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,052 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $591 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,078 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,189 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,200 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,191 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,930 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,988 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Cezchia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,339 | 20/07/2026 |