epsilonmagio

Sports 51% +$1,391 $22,060 vol · 325 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva	Iga Swiatek	48¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Blues vs. Utah	Blues	55¢	100¢	+$82	win
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Oilers	55¢	100¢	+$41	win
Kraken vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	65¢	100¢	+$0	—
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)	Clippers	56¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Red Wings vs. Panthers	Red Wings	60¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Canadiens vs. Islanders	Canadiens	49¢	100¢	+$104	win
Penguins vs. Capitals	Capitals	59¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs	Panthers	42¢	100¢	+$138	win
Flyers vs. Jets	Flyers	49¢	100¢	+$104	win

Esports 51% +$518 $10,118 vol · 157 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner	Pcific Esports	50¢	0¢	$-49	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	49¢	0¢	$-98	loss
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season	UCAM Esports Club	42¢	0¢	$-49	loss
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner	Solary	53¢	100¢	+$44	win
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	60¢	100¢	+$67	win
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner	Misa Esports	60¢	100¢	+$33	win
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Gentle Mates	47¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	39¢	100¢	+$156	win
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	KRÜ Esports	52¢	100¢	+$92	win
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	54¢	100¢	+$85	win

Elections 75% +$263 $613 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	No	39¢	15¢	$-34	loss
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$292	win

Politics 75% +$71 $952 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	78¢	100¢	+$3	win
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	65¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Lloyd Harris	Dusan Lajovic	62¢	100¢	+$92	win
Will exactly 5 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$-0	—
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?	No	62¢	0¢	$-15	loss

Economy 100% +$16 $372 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$16	win

Culture 25% $-43 $739 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	78¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	No	57¢	0¢	$-43	loss

Crypto 50% $-52 $400 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Ethan Quinn	56¢	100¢	+$79	win
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Lehecka	Ethan Quinn	47¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Delray Beach Open: Ethan Quinn vs Rafael Jodar	Quinn	54¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 18?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$30	win

Finance 57% $-67 $1,937 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	60¢	100¢	+$100	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 19?	Up	40¢	0¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?	Up	48¢	0¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?	Down	49¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 19?	Down	57¢	100¢	$-0	loss
ATX Open: Anna Bondar vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Rakhimova	56¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?	No	35¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-11	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?	Down	54¢	0¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?	Down	88¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 33% $-107 $485 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Geopolitics 39% $-231 $2,425 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato	Valentin Royer	63¢	100¢	+$58	win
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonald	Thiago Agustin Tirante	65¢	100¢	+$81	win
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Senators vs. Capitals	Senators	56¢	0¢	$-100	loss
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israel	Netherlands	62¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$59	win
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Buse	Tirante	59¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?	No	74¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Senators vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	62¢	100¢	+$31	win
Senators vs. Penguins	Senators	53¢	100¢	$-6	loss

Tech 33% $-307 $589 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon dip to $192 in February?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 17?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-177	loss
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on February 3?	Yes	55¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?	No	83¢	100¢	+$3	win
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 15?	Up	92¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?	Yes	99¢	0¢	$-128	loss

Weather 42% $-400 $3,506 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	No	30¢	22¢	$-6	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18?	No	46¢	46¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18?	Yes	51¢	54¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	Yes	66¢	76¢	+$6	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?	No	47¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 17?	No	57¢	100¢	+$85	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 16?	No	42¢	100¢	+$73	win
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 16?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 16?	No	49¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?	No	50¢	0¢	$-66	loss

Other 48% $-421 $45,326 vol · 523 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$2	win
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?	No	89¢	96¢	+$1	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	42¢	100¢	+$44	win
Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	No	84¢	92¢	+$2	win
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	55¢	63¢	+$15	win
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	27¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti	Arthur Fils	52¢	100¢	+$138	win
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Henrique Rocha	44¢	100¢	+$127	win
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	58¢	100¢	+$72	win