SMasha

Crypto 63% +$29 $739 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	68¢	100¢	+$27	win
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	63¢	0¢	$-25	loss
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	57¢	100¢	+$26	win
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	54¢	0¢	$-40	loss
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	60¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	55¢	100¢	+$32	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	55¢	100¢	+$20	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	61¢	100¢	+$22	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	57¢	100¢	+$21	win
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	54¢	100¢	+$21	win

Mentions 16% +$28 $25,004 vol · 264 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Weather 100% +$6 $1,645 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?	Yes	74¢	76¢	+$1	win
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or higher on April 11?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 10?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 10?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on April 7?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 5?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Tech 100% +$3 $46 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	92¢	97¢	+$3	win

Sports 0% $-12 $50 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-5	loss

Geopolitics 75% $-26 $212 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$28	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	32¢	18¢	+$2	win
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$9	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	1¢	0¢	$-65	loss

Elections 17% $-64 $631 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	17¢	8¢	$-16	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	39¢	16¢	$-28	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	77¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	40¢	16¢	$-30	loss

Other 0% $-87 $598 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	70¢	71¢	$-2	loss
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	65¢	29¢	$-72	loss
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	62¢	98¢	$-12	loss

Politics 47% $-276 $8,904 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3¢	3¢	$-2	loss
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5¢	5¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	98¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	87¢	84¢	$-2	loss
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	$-330	loss
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-37	loss