Win rate
53.2%
33 W / 29 L
Total PnL
$250
realized $-2,533 · unrealized $2,783
Portfolio
$2,783
volume $303,682
Predictions
75
2.2/day · avg $4,049
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 87% +$357
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 16¢ | 3¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 100% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Elections 53% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 85¢ | 88¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Yes | 49¢ | 49¢ | $-4 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 38% $-87
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 74¢ | 73¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 72¢ | 79¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | No | 47¢ | 48¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 94¢ | 77¢ | $-6 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 72.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $68 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $893 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $2,511 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 82.5¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $412 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $2,498 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,236 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $991 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $902 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $485 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $243 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $236 | 08/02/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $1,478 | 28/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $737 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 93.8¢ | 77¢ | $-6 | $35 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | $26 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | Yes | 51.7¢ | 50¢ | $-37 | $2,831 | 31/07/2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | Yes | 54.2¢ | 54¢ | $-10 | $951 | 31/07/2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | No | 47.0¢ | 48¢ | $-0 | $51 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Yes | 48.6¢ | 49¢ | $-4 | $554 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 18.2¢ | 30¢ | +$202 | $312 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 46.7¢ | 42¢ | $-17 | $202 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 6¢ | +$11 | $37 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 16.3¢ | 3¢ | $-7 | $51 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 93.0¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $58 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 82.4¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | $67 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | $165 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 1¢ | $-11 | $253 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 1¢ | $-38 | $247 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 2¢ | +$10 | $229 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 3¢ | $-14 | $351 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $92 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 4¢ | +$18 | $239 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | $-20 | $124 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $29 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 1¢ | $-20 | $59 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 1¢ | +$1 | $30 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 2¢ | $-6 | $57 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 2¢ | $-4 | $29 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.2¢ | 27¢ | +$35 | $268 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$1 | $22 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.7¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $183 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $32 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.5¢ | 12¢ | +$2 | $54 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 61.7¢ | 61¢ | +$53 | $2,505 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 79.5¢ | 81¢ | +$41 | $4,101 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 92.9¢ | 93¢ | +$20 | $4,348 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97.5¢ | 99¢ | +$7 | $1,437 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 94.3¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | $1,766 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 95.7¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | $373 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 96.9¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $828 | 07/11/2028 |