Zzz1337

Politics 79% +$1,490 $7,709 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	29¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	46¢	40¢	+$65	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	25¢	42¢	+$14	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	66¢	50¢	$-6	loss
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?	No	90¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Trump say “Barack Hussein Obama” by February 28?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Board of Peace events on February 19?	No	98¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$409	win
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$159	win

Tech 71% +$275 $1,502 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	15¢	4¢	$-43	loss
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	Yes	94¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	49¢	0¢	+$18	win
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$249	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$6	win

Economy 100% +$117 $1,133 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$113	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Culture 62% +$92 $5,507 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	12¢	26¢	+$12	win
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?	No	48¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	69¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	25¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?	Yes	21¢	100¢	+$137	win
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	No	58¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	61¢	100¢	$-13	loss

Finance 100% +$30 $200 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?	Up	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?	Up	78¢	100¢	+$28	win

Sports 59% $-288 $8,563 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	26¢	2¢	$-12	loss
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	86¢	100¢	+$16	win
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	83¢	100¢	$-51	loss
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs	Dplus KIA	72¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	78¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	39¢	0¢	$-32	loss
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs	Gen.G	94¢	100¢	+$3	win

Esports 82% $-319 $3,969 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	61¢	100¢	+$19	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	Natus Vincere	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	PARIVISION	60¢	100¢	+$21	win
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B	Team Spirit	89¢	100¢	+$6	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	73¢	100¢	+$86	win
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs	G2 Esports	69¢	100¢	+$35	win
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A	Bilibili Gaming	96¢	100¢	+$14	win
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A	G2 Esports	19¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	G2	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	Vitality	95¢	100¢	+$8	win

Geopolitics 62% $-922 $14,866 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	21¢	0¢	$-398	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	82¢	84¢	+$6	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	97¢	97¢	$-0	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	17¢	30¢	+$8	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	52¢	100¢	$-35	loss
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	No	89¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	No	68¢	100¢	+$16	win

Elections 83% $-1,810 $15,202 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	64¢	64¢	+$12	win
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	34¢	41¢	+$7	win
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	67¢	66¢	$-5	loss
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$436	win
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-3,011	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	69¢	92¢	+$22	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	64¢	66¢	+$6	win
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	80¢	92¢	+$5	win
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Other 67% $-4,039 $32,252 vol · 70 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	90¢	100¢	+$8	win
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$15	win
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	79¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	Yes	69¢	68¢	$-1	loss
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	89¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-459	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	93¢	0¢	+$10	win
Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31	No	67¢	100¢	+$6	win

Crypto 29% $-4,150 $6,046 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-74	loss
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	94¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-1,432	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-1,000	loss
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?	No	46¢	0¢	$-83	loss
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-900	loss
Will Solana reach $180 in June?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-268	loss
Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-33	loss