raigoth

Other 80% +$133 $936 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	73¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	BNK FEARX	93¢	100¢	+$0	win
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?	No	76¢	100¢	+$7	win
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B	Gen.G	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?	No	34¢	100¢	+$86	win
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?	No	38¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?	No	62¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	No	31¢	100¢	+$140	win
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	No	32¢	100¢	+$105	win

Politics 100% +$80 $136 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	25¢	100¢	+$75	win
Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$5	win

Elections 100% +$33 $24 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?	No	42¢	100¢	+$33	win

Geopolitics 75% +$15 $143 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	74¢	0¢	$-10	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	30¢	0¢	+$23	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	79¢	0¢	+$1	win

Finance 50% $-6 $45 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will PayPal say "Regulation" or "Regulator" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$14	win

Weather 82% $-25 $1,877 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?	No	89¢	66¢	$-8	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 18?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?	No	57¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17?	No	58¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17?	No	74¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 14?	No	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 11?	No	77¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 11?	No	91¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 11?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?	No	79¢	100¢	+$12	win

Esports 53% $-29 $2,311 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1	ThunderTalk Gaming	43¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	BetBoom Team	45¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	Aurora Gaming	68¢	100¢	+$47	win
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	G2	74¢	100¢	+$35	win
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5	Over	50¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	Monte	41¢	100¢	+$53	win
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	paiN	40¢	100¢	+$4	win
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	G2	59¢	0¢	+$3	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	PARIVISION	41¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	NRG	58¢	0¢	$-91	loss

Mentions 49% $-132 $2,918 vol · 75 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?	No	99¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	+$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	91¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 69% $-428 $2,286 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	8¢	100¢	+$131	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	28¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	33¢	0¢	$-158	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	25¢	0¢	$-249	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	57¢	0¢	$-103	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	95¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 58% $-459 $2,427 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Cavaliers vs. Warriors	Cavaliers	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Timberwolves vs. 76ers	76ers	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers	Trail Blazers	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Raptors vs. Pistons	Pistons	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Heat vs. Pacers	Pacers	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Rockets	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Knicks vs. Thunder	Thunder	96¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Nets vs. Lakers	Lakers	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Kings vs. Hawks	Hawks	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss