Win rate
25.3%
22 W / 65 L
Total PnL
$-1,296
realized $-2,379 · unrealized $1,083
Portfolio
$1,083
volume $198,302
Predictions
100
2.3/day · avg $1,983
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 46% +$197
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$188 | win |
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-188 | loss |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5) | Vanderbilt Commodores | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | loss |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Senators | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Esports 50% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | G2 | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Top Esports | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | loss |
Elections 0% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
Politics 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 3% $-1,380
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Pelicans vs. Raptors | Pelicans | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-1,322 | loss |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Timberwolves | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers | Cavaliers | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,274 | 31/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Raptors | Pelicans | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,322 | $1,322 | 28/03/2026 |
| Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5) | Vanderbilt Commodores | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $105 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $81 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,067 | 15/03/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Timberwolves | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 12/03/2026 |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Senators | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $84 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $85 | 09/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | G2 | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $92 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $105 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will CF América win on 2026-03-04? | No | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $85 | 05/03/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Top Esports | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $116 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $67 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $66 | 03/02/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers | Cavaliers | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | $172 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $62 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $312 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,079 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,079 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $794 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,369 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,282 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,286 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | $-31 | $1,074 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $4,417 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $1,038 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,021 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,155 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,176 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,468 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,273 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,335 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,375 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,065 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,084 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,201 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,204 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,259 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,495 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,761 | 20/07/2026 |