sbimbg

Sports 56% +$93,138 $1,529,945 vol · 312 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-1,378	loss
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	90¢	91¢	$-520	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreeva	Alycia Parks	11¢	0¢	$-663	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Linda Noskova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	16¢	0¢	$-1,600	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemund	Iga Swiatek	96¢	100¢	+$200	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa	Eva Lys	45¢	100¢	+$1,240	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa	Paula Badosa	59¢	0¢	$-202	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomova	Viktoriya Tomova	38¢	0¢	$-879	loss
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals	St. Louis Cardinals	48¢	100¢	+$245	win
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Dodgers	57¢	100¢	+$52	win

Other 58% +$40,031 $6,358,822 vol · 1951 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	77¢	84¢	+$50	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	20¢	16¢	+$50	win
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	72¢	86¢	+$0	—
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	31¢	75¢	+$155	win
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	72¢	96¢	+$75	win
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	64¢	25¢	$-113	loss
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	73¢	84¢	+$94	win
GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	51¢	99¢	+$597	win
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	88¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-1,110	loss

Politics 74% +$34,251 $580,091 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	63¢	72¢	+$0	win
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-479	loss
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	89¢	92¢	+$661	win
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	93¢	94¢	+$10	win
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-5	loss
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	No	62¢	100¢	+$135	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?	No	83¢	100¢	$-280	loss
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	37¢	0¢	$-280	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$358	win

Finance 66% +$22,930 $133,934 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	89¢	97¢	+$102	win
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	24¢	14¢	+$159	win
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	81¢	86¢	+$892	win
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Harmony Tan vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	93¢	100¢	+$524	win
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frech	Anna Bondar	49¢	100¢	+$4,109	win
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$169	win
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$28	win
Miami Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Bondar	Anastasia Zakharova	67¢	100¢	+$1,650	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?	Up	94¢	100¢	+$109	win

Crypto 70% +$5,176 $171,929 vol · 92 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	21¢	100¢	+$168	win
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	ETH	58¢	0¢	$-246	loss
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn	Cameron Norrie	57¢	100¢	+$4,300	win
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	57¢	0¢	$-4,491	loss
Copa Colsanitas: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Julieta Pareja	Julieta Pareja	66¢	100¢	+$2,565	win
Miami Open: Solana Sierra vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	68¢	100¢	+$846	win
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	54¢	0¢	$-4,350	loss
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	99¢	100¢	+$294	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	50¢	100¢	+$1,080	win

Weather 83% +$4,514 $25,836 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	St. Johns Red Storm	34¢	0¢	+$3,444	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	92¢	100¢	+$1,062	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5	Under	54¢	0¢	+$26	win
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?	No	40¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?	No	86¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 47% +$4,486 $87,092 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	22¢	28¢	+$60	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	69¢	0¢	$-1,226	loss
Will David Corenswet be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	64¢	100¢	$-255	loss
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-387	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-1,631	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-1,066	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	No	14¢	0¢	$-258	loss
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	21¢	0¢	$-105	loss

Elections 69% +$539 $210,808 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	78¢	83¢	+$-0	—
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	34¢	36¢	$-300	loss
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	5¢	0¢	$-7,047	loss
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-7,724	loss
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	69¢	100¢	$-135	loss
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	25¢	0¢	+$7	win
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-190	loss
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?	No	13¢	0¢	+$0	—

Esports 100% +$40 $4,040 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	46¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	+$40	win

Culture 44% $-63 $2,731 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	11¢	100¢	$-90	loss
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	40¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-416	loss
Will Oscar Piastri win the Qatar Grand Prix?	No	93¢	100¢	+$70	win

Geopolitics 52% $-1,245 $679,447 vol · 121 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$850	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	41¢	82¢	+$415	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	35¢	0¢	$-386	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	74¢	70¢	$-460	loss
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-1,133	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	47¢	94¢	+$620	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	44¢	6¢	+$80	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$40	win
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$0	—
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	16¢	0¢	$-160	loss

Economy 68% $-4,848 $115,184 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	No	70¢	74¢	$-396	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$316	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	5¢	1¢	$-117	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	78¢	100¢	$-79	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	80¢	100¢	+$150	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	13¢	0¢	+$250	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-2,800	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-2,173	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	13¢	0¢	$-2,100	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$270	win