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0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556
0xf4fe4aeea49c54aa73ec946ab2eebd02ee42f6e7 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
96.0%
837 W / 35 L
Total PnL
$-1,046
realized $-2,844 · unrealized $1,797
Portfolio
$1,797
volume $134,987
Predictions
2,519
38.2/day · avg $54
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 88% +$514
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | No | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-353 | loss |
| Japanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Other 97% +$269
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$100 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April? | No | 77¢ | 97¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $145 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Karoline Leavitt out by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 90% +$222
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will The Diplomat win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Russia announce a Christmas truce? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Economy 100% +$162
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Weather 99% +$38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 12? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on April 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on April 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on April 9? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 99% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Thrash" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Sinners" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Marty Supreme" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 83% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Canada win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will France record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will China record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 90% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will MrBeast rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Crypto 93% $-59
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on February 2? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1? | Yes | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 92% $-2,143
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Paul Bondar be the Republican Nominee for TX-32? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18? | Yes | 95¢ | 87¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38? | Yes | 98¢ | 90¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will James Barbee be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Thrash" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81.1¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $111 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 12? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81.3¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $145 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on April 10? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $70 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 10? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on April 10? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 10? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.00 in March? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on April 10? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in March? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on April 9? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on April 9? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 8? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 7? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on April 7? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 7? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C on April 6? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 6? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on April 6? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on April 6? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 6? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 6? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C on April 6? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C or below on April 6? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 6? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on April 6? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on April 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 5? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $70 | 05/04/2026 |