Decentralised

Finance 89% +$592 $1,244 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$280	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-54	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 27?	Down	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 25?	Up	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 11?	Down	89¢	100¢	+$34	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 6?	Down	47¢	100¢	+$2	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	85¢	100¢	+$8	win

Other 85% +$433 $3,491 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	83¢	100¢	+$8	win
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	68¢	84¢	+$12	win
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	72¢	12¢	$-42	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	75¢	44¢	+$8	win
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	33¢	50¢	+$25	win
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	49¢	100¢	+$51	win
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Chennai Super Kings	81¢	100¢	+$10	win
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$20	win

Geopolitics 71% +$57 $3,040 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	48¢	30¢	$-37	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	27¢	100¢	+$72	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	81¢	88¢	+$3	win
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	31¢	8¢	$-21	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	86¢	100¢	+$7	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	60¢	0¢	+$0	—
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	No	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?	No	80¢	100¢	+$22	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	81¢	100¢	+$36	win

Weather 89% +$39 $1,053 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 7?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 6?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on March 29?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 28?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on March 28?	No	83¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 60% $-38 $834 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	13¢	8¢	+$6	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	83¢	92¢	$-6	loss
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	—
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?	No	42¢	0¢	$-42	loss

Tech 50% $-169 $303 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	32¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	70¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-143	loss

Elections 60% $-176 $629 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-224	loss
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$7	win

Sports 62% $-260 $1,199 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Thunder vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	81¢	100¢	+$6	win
Celtics vs. Knicks	Knicks	65¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$10	win
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	50¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	71¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 6?	Down	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)	Pimblett	69¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$6	win
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Mavericks	59¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Heat vs. Celtics	Celtics	70¢	100¢	+$21	win

Crypto 54% $-477 $2,354 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$67	win
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-349	loss
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	80¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-182	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	52¢	0¢	+$13	win
Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?	No	88¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 2PM ET	Up	19¢	0¢	+$2	win