Win rate
52.8%
431 W / 386 L
Total PnL
$-1,216
realized $-4,775 · unrealized $3,559
Portfolio
$3,559
volume $2,174,952
Predictions
1,477
14.6/day · avg $1,473
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/11/2023 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Weather 71% +$1,468
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 18? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 46¢ | 2¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 17? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 16? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 16? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 15? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 14? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 14? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 14? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Sports 44% +$1,033
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 18¢ | 3¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 15¢ | 1¢ | $-540 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Mercedes achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Mentions 55% +$782
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 90-99 times? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will MrBeast's giveaway tweet be the most reposted of all time? | Yes | 4¢ | 100¢ | +$965 | win |
Esports 43% +$559
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | 3DMAX | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Clutchain (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage | MOUZ NXT | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | EYEBALLERS | 41¢ | 50¢ | +$14 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | BC.Game Esports | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | PARIVISION | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | Astralis | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
Culture 50% +$202
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
Economy 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
Crypto 32% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 38¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | loss |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | ETH | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Solana reach $140 in February? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-308 | loss |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 11? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$189 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 2? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Solana reach $160 in December? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Solana ETF approved in 2025? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in November? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
Finance 0% $-132
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Reddit IPO at between $2.5b-5b valuation? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | loss |
Geopolitics 37% $-365
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | Yes | 29¢ | 7¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 39¢ | 14¢ | $-245 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 17¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-227 | loss |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-142 | loss |
| Will Russia win Intervision 2025? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Will US leave NATO by June 30? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
Elections 35% $-545
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-305 | loss |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 7¢ | 42¢ | +$163 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 28¢ | 25¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$106 | win |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
Tech 54% $-791
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 14¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | loss |
| Will Metamask daily perps revenue hit $100k in 2025? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-303 | loss |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
Other 47% $-2,526
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 20¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 8¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 3¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will FaZe qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Team Liquid qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 99¢ | +$170 | win |
| Will FalleN retire by June 1? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will FalleN retire by June 1? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-318 | loss |
Politics 28% $-3,119
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 14¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 6¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will Trump say "N-Word" in February? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Will Trump shake hands with Mark Carney at the World Economic Forum? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 45.5¢ | 2¢ | $-64 | $69 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 17? | Yes | 37.9¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 16? | Yes | 13.1¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 16? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 16? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $51 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 15? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | $42 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 14? | Yes | 37.7¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 14? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $59 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 14? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $75 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on April 14? | No | 27.3¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) | HOTU | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 14? | No | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 13? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $34 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $86 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | 3DMAX | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Clutchain (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage | MOUZ NXT | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 25.7¢ | 0¢ | +$216 | $231 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 12? | No | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $126 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $66 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $36 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 12? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $110 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11? | No | 17.0¢ | 100¢ | +$390 | $87 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on April 11? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $36 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 11? | No | 40.3¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $65 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10? | Yes | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $141 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 10? | No | 78.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $78 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 10? | No | 83.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $67 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C or below on April 10? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $60 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10? | Yes | 7.1¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 10? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 9? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 9? | Yes | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 9? | Yes | 15.1¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $53 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 8? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $33 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8? | Yes | 47.6¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $49 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 8? | No | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $113 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 8? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $80 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 8? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $63 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 7? | No | 81.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $103 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $119 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 7? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 7? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $20 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 7? | No | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 5? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $36 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 5? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $36 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 5? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 4? | Yes | 42.6¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $22 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 4? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $46 | 04/04/2026 |