Win rate
28.2%
11 W / 28 L
Total PnL
$-1,050
realized $-1,768 · unrealized $718
Portfolio
$718
volume $66,356
Predictions
47
1.1/day · avg $1,412
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/11/2023 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 33% +$170
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Politics 50% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Economy 20% $-69
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 61¢ | 92¢ | +$81 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 42¢ | 8¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-257
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 85¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 33% $-752
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$2 | win |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 36¢ | 28¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-1,545 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | win |
| Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-219 | loss |
Recent Trades (39)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 99¢ | +$44 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 1¢ | $-97 | $98 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20? | Yes | 12.9¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 20/03/2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 19/03/2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | No | 20.6¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $28 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 21 days or more? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | Yes | 19.3¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February? | Yes | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 28/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 3.4¢ | 100¢ | +$508 | $25 | 14/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 14/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 100¢ | +$235 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 31/01/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 85.0¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | $39 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 46.6¢ | 39¢ | $-39 | $883 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 1¢ | $-23 | $35 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 41.6¢ | 8¢ | $-44 | $54 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 61.2¢ | 92¢ | +$81 | $200 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | Yes | 12.1¢ | 3¢ | $-29 | $40 | 30/06/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | No | 55.0¢ | 26¢ | $-67 | $130 | 01/07/2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 31/12/2026 |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 80¢ | +$31 | $124 | 01/01/2027 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 52.2¢ | 100¢ | +$866 | $1,649 | 01/01/2027 |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | $100 | 01/01/2027 |
| Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 21.9¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | $40 | 01/01/2027 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 30.9¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $60 | 01/01/2027 |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $100 | 01/01/2027 |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $30 | 01/01/2027 |
| Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 01/01/2027 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 12.9¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $190 | 01/01/2027 |
| Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 42.8¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $140 | 01/01/2027 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 41.1¢ | 0¢ | $-219 | $460 | 01/01/2027 |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,545 | $1,582 | 01/01/2027 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 8.8¢ | 6¢ | $-35 | $94 | 01/01/2028 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 24.0¢ | 24¢ | +$2 | $105 | 01/01/2028 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 28¢ | $-16 | $75 | 01/01/2028 |