Yiren

Other 62% +$470 $6,415 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	92¢	93¢	+$18	win
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$193	win
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	No	79¢	100¢	+$13	win
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$10	win
White girlfriend who shot Black bf guilty?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-80	loss
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)	KT Rolster	27¢	100¢	+$68	win
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	T1	68¢	100¢	+$24	win
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	Anyones Legend	32¢	0¢	+$12	win

Elections 40% +$263 $2,375 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-131	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$491	win
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$42	win
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Trump win 5 swing states?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-34	loss

Crypto 87% +$217 $1,593 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ethereum hit $4000 by February 28 2025?	No	76¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?	100k	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?	No	82¢	100¢	+$35	win
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	No	78¢	100¢	+$38	win
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?	No	55¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?	No	81¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?	No	91¢	100¢	+$14	win

Geopolitics 100% +$169 $4,693 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	80¢	82¢	+$15	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	88¢	91¢	+$104	win
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
US forces enter Iran by February 28?	No	96¢	100¢	+$15	win

Tech 86% +$100 $458 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	No	77¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$20	win
Google forced to sell Chrome?	No	88¢	100¢	$-3	loss
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$11	win

Esports 100% +$19 $70 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)	T1	79¢	100¢	+$19	win

Politics 83% $-31 $1,557 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?	No	75¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Trump visit China by October 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?	No	91¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Trump save TikTok in first 100 days?	No	43¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	75¢	100¢	+$12	win

Sports 63% $-180 $9,454 vol · 142 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	40¢	24¢	$-9	loss
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	46¢	100¢	+$47	win
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	88¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Spurs vs. Warriors	Warriors	67¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
76ers vs. Clippers	76ers	93¢	100¢	+$12	win
76ers vs. Clippers	Clippers	50¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Clippers vs. Suns	Clippers	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	91¢	100¢	+$5	win

Economy 33% $-190 $709 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-48	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$7	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-84	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$12	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$63	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-8	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-76	loss