Win rate
80.9%
1980 W / 467 L
Total PnL
$32,815
realized $13,365 · unrealized $19,449
Portfolio
$19,449
volume $1,953,316
Predictions
3,572
14.4/day · avg $547
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Tech 79% +$13,116
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla dip to $375 in April? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in April? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Microsoft dip to $390 in April? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Meta dip to $570 in April? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Tesla reach $488 in April? | No | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Apple dip to $200 in April? | Yes | 15¢ | 4¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will Meta reach $680 in April? | No | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of April? | No | 79¢ | 55¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of April? | No | 45¢ | 29¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $260 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Other 78% +$8,480
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | Yes | 69¢ | 94¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$218 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | No | 30¢ | 6¢ | +$1 | win |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 16¢ | 6¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Palantir dip to $156 in April? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $80 in April? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) hit (HIGH) $600 in April? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-1,718 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
Finance 67% +$7,264
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $25,000 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 75¢ | 61¢ | $-669 | loss |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (HIGH) $660 in April? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-390 | loss |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $685 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10? | Down | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-1,116 | loss |
Geopolitics 67% +$2,733
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$301 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$187 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$558 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-683 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-277 | loss |
Sports 86% +$2,194
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Netflix reach $228 in April? | No | 98¢ | 93¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in April? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 6? | Down | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$617 | win |
Politics 86% +$136
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | win |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 10¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 86% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $116 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-619 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-445 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-161 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1? | Yes | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-304 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in February? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in February? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 67% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Mentions 43% $-141
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-127 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
Elections 38% $-4,038
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 34¢ | 39¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-1,147 | loss |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-2,717 | loss |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $337 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $260 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $328 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $129 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $124 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $113 | 17/04/2026 |
| QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 39.3¢ | 3¢ | $-732 | $807 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 95.4¢ | 99¢ | +$16 | $451 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 54.2¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $710 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 44¢ | $-120 | $235 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $248 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $226 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $62 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 1¢ | $-63 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 92.7¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | $109 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 93.9¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 57.3¢ | 1¢ | $-37 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 44.7¢ | 1¢ | $-28 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 87.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 91.8¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | $1,676 | 15/04/2026 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $148 | 15/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $80 | 14/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $769 | 13/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-390 | $390 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 6 above $225? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $766 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $300? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $248 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $175? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $326 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $123 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $580 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $333 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $368 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 6 above $215? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $186 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 6 above $250? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $245 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $54 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 6 above $240? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $284 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $685 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $23 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 6 above $210? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $235 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $280? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $276 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $160? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $233 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 6 above $245? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $183 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $172.50 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $109 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 6 above $150? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $116 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $82.50 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $74 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $74 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $165? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $107 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $196 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 10/04/2026 |