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0xf2b210785d8f11a11a5b060cf5ddd4f4066f2e80 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
45.7%
278 W / 330 L
Total PnL
$-1,981
realized $-3,190 · unrealized $1,209
Portfolio
$1,209
volume $153,630
Predictions
1,452
44.1/day · avg $106
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 51% +$312
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 35¢ | 76¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | 63¢ | 98¢ | +$10 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | Yes | 17¢ | 6¢ | $-5 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 82¢ | 72¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 75¢ | 43¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 36% +$182
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Gentle Mates | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | G2 Esports | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Valorant: XtremeDogs vs Bitfix Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B | Bitfix Gaming | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs | ShindeN | 61¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | Ursa | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner | MOUZ | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season | Ei Nerd Esports | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group A | FarmVille | 68¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | Lavked | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | MOUZ | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 60% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
Weather 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 22? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Culture 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Murkel Dellien | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Politics 33% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | Up | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Tech 50% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of April? | No | 63¢ | 24¢ | $-5 | loss |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 50% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$248 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
Finance 0% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | Up | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
Other 44% $-887
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 73¢ | 39¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? | No | 72¢ | 48¢ | $-8 | loss |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 75¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | No | 32¢ | 80¢ | +$69 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | Yes | 70¢ | 20¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | No | 60¢ | 50¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 43% $-1,100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | No | 27¢ | 16¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago Cubs | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | St. Louis Cardinals | 54¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Philadelphia Phillies | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Crypto 60% $-1,142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Up | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Down | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1PM ET | Up | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Up | 48¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - April 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Up | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | Down | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Down | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 52.5¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Arthur Fery vs Valentin Royer | Valentin Royer | 63.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $53 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud | 55.6¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca | Joao Fonseca | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 65.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublik | Jiri Lehecka | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 27.3¢ | 100¢ | +$288 | $280 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Alejandro Moro Canas | Alejandro Moro Canas | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $47 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik | Alexander Bublik | 63.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $39 | 15/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago Cubs | 53.4¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans | Gujarat Titans | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Sakamoto vs Meza | Sakamoto | 62.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $51 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Calvin Hemery vs Zsombor Piros | Zsombor Piros | 73.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Marc Polmans vs Tristan Schoolkate | Tristan Schoolkate | 54.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Murkel Dellien | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 65.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Andres Andrade vs Tyler Zink | Andres Andrade | 61.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 55.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $53 | 15/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Lautaro Midon | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikori | Yibing Wu | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $47 | 15/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $51 | 15/04/2026 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | St. Louis Cardinals | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $36 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Philadelphia Phillies | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Galfi (+1.5) | Cirstea | 61.7¢ | 50¢ | $-4 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockx | Flavio Cobolli | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alvaro Guillen Meza | Pedro Sakamoto | 56.8¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot | Lorenzo Musetti | 61.4¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot | Valentin Vacherot | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans | Delhi Capitals | 51.4¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alvaro Guillen Meza | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $53 | 15/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Kansas City Royals | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $36 | 15/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 55.5¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Philadelphia Phillies | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 63.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $88 | 15/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $65 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Selena Janicijevic | Oksana Selekhmeteva | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $47 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Eala | Alexandra Eala | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $29 | 14/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians | Mumbai Indians | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | Athletics | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 65.5¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $114 | 12/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Athletics | Athletics | 28.6¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 36.0¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |