Win rate
54.6%
65 W / 54 L
Total PnL
$301
realized $-4,240 · unrealized $4,540
Portfolio
$4,540
volume $37,069
Predictions
286
8.2/day · avg $130
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 52% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? | No | 63¢ | 84¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 60¢ | 65¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 35¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 58¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027? | No | 45¢ | 17¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 74¢ | 67¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$4 | win |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 67¢ | 76¢ | +$6 | win |
Finance 88% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$3 | win |
Elections 67% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 50% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 75% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | No | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | No | 82¢ | 98¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 4? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Politics 29% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 38¢ | 10¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Geopolitics 56% $-112
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 45¢ | 18¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 56¢ | 82¢ | +$14 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 30¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 79¢ | 27¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$31 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 62¢ | 32¢ | $-29 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 14¢ | 28¢ | +$24 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Tech 45% $-138
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 61¢ | 39¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 62¢ | 61¢ | $-1 | loss |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 62¢ | 62¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 72¢ | 71¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Google reach $320 in April? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in April? | No | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 3? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $52 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 30.1¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 64.6¢ | 99¢ | +$16 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March? | No | 69.2¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $48 | 01/04/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | No | 43.7¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 64.8¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $71 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 60.9¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $54 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 73.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 84.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 64.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $37 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 84.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 83.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $136 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 44.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $36 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | Yes | 60.6¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 37.9¢ | 10¢ | $-16 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | Yes | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $34 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 3? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 4? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $31 | 03/03/2026 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 3? | Up | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $20 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $20 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $22 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 80.8¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 84.0¢ | 79¢ | $-2 | $30 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 77.5¢ | 72¢ | $-11 | $168 | 22/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 62.4¢ | 60¢ | $-4 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 56.0¢ | 56¢ | $-20 | $172 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 92.9¢ | 98¢ | +$35 | $376 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 88.3¢ | 97¢ | +$75 | $364 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | No | 65.0¢ | 94¢ | +$23 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | No | 71.9¢ | 72¢ | $-30 | $239 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 76.4¢ | 96¢ | +$13 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 77.0¢ | 94¢ | +$11 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| US bank failure by April 30? | No | 83.0¢ | 93¢ | +$6 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30? | No | 71.0¢ | 85¢ | +$8 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 89¢ | $-2 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 57.3¢ | 14¢ | $-23 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 65.0¢ | 96¢ | +$16 | $34 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | No | 85.0¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? | No | 86.0¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 87.6¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 87.7¢ | 88¢ | +$7 | $147 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30? | No | 89.6¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30? | No | 95.5¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | No | 76.8¢ | 98¢ | +$18 | $150 | 30/04/2026 |