Win rate
53.2%
175 W / 154 L
Total PnL
$-1,155
realized $-7,608 · unrealized $6,453
Portfolio
$6,453
volume $312,712
Predictions
332
12.7/day · avg $942
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Economy 33% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 91¢ | 92¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-124 | loss |
Esports 67% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season? | No | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$2 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | Astralis | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Heroic | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
Elections 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 56¢ | 48¢ | $-23 | loss |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 60% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 81¢ | 88¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 17¢ | 12¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 60% $-46
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 35¢ | 30¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 87¢ | 89¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 13¢ | 15¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-138 | loss |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 49¢ | 48¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 81¢ | 80¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$13 | win |
Crypto 53% $-123
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | No | 40¢ | 74¢ | $-170 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $60k | 31¢ | 28¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | $60 | 77¢ | 64¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $80k | 64¢ | 72¢ | +$143 | win |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$37 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? | No | 34¢ | 14¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | No | 89¢ | 93¢ | $-112 | loss |
Culture 33% $-128
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | loss |
Finance 25% $-150
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | Yes | 93¢ | 95¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Ledger IPO before 2027? | No | 65¢ | 76¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 84¢ | 87¢ | $-331 | loss |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 13¢ | +$341 | win |
Other 59% $-815
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$5 | win |
| GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$2 | win |
| GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$4 | win |
| Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 42¢ | 38¢ | +$18 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$8 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-36 | loss |
Tech 36% $-967
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$8 | win |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 28¢ | 27¢ | +$5 | win |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 44¢ | 39¢ | $-7 | loss |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 64¢ | 61¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Apple dip to $216 in April? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Meta reach $730 in April? | No | 89¢ | 68¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Google dip to $270 in April? | Yes | 27¢ | 3¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Amazon reach $260 in April? | No | 90¢ | 46¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Google reach $375 in April? | No | 96¢ | 85¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$11 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNB Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| BNB Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 17.9¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $76 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $97 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $79 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $150 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 42.3¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | $189 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $141 | 10/04/2026 |
| BNB Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $27 | 10/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 10? | Down | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 65.9¢ | 100¢ | +$174 | $592 | 09/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $278 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 7? | Up | 13.3¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | $905 | 06/04/2026 |
| BNB Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $224 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 88.1¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $536 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 5? | Down | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $618 | 05/04/2026 |
| BNB Up or Down on April 5? | Up | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $62 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | Down | 78.2¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | $657 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | Up | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $760 | 05/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 5? | Up | 73.2¢ | 0¢ | $-384 | $915 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $1,069 | 04/04/2026 |
| BNB Up or Down on April 4? | Up | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $78 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $52 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $271 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $74 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 86.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $26 | 04/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 4? | Up | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $294 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | $-58 | $312 | 04/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9PM ET | Down | 15.5¢ | 100¢ | +$176 | $32 | 03/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 9PM ET | Down | 67.8¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | $316 | 03/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 10PM ET | Up | 38.2¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $88 | 03/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 3? | Down | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $22 | 03/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 10PM ET | Down | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $86 | 03/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 3? | Down | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 03/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $39 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2AM ET | Down | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | +$176 | $88 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 76.7¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $537 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $160 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon reach $224 in March? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | $36 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $86 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla dip to $263 in March? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $623 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon dip to $180 in March? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $91 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $253 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon reach $296 in March? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $291 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA reach $216 in March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $101 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $66 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla reach $450 in March? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $134 | 01/04/2026 |